Free NFL Picks Today: Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars 10/16/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars 10/16/22
Sun 16th October 2022

The Indianapolis Colts (2-2-1, 1-1-0 Home) play host to the Jacksonville Jaguars (2-3, 1-2 Away) at Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday. The Colts are two-point favorites, and the total is 42. Jacksonville is coming off a 13-6 loss at the hands of the Houston Texans at TIAA Bank Field last Sunday. Trevor Lawrence was 25 of 47 for 286 yards and two interceptions. Travis Etienne Jr. ran 10 times for 71 yards. He added three receptions for 43 yards. Marvin Jones Jr. was targeted 11 times, catching seven passes for 104 yards. Indianapolis beat the Denver Broncos 12-9 at Empower Field at Mile High last Thursday. Matt Ryan threw for 251 yards and two interceptions. Deon Jackson carried 13 times for 62 yards. Alec Pierce was targeted nine times, hauling in eight receptions for 81 yards.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The Jaguars won the first meeting between the teams this season, a 24-0 victory in September. Trevor Lawrence threw two touchdowns for Jacksonville, as Christian Kirk scored twice.

TALE OF THE TAPE

The Jaguars are averaging 22.2 points per game for the season, 15th in the NFL, and they are facing a Colts defense that has surrendered 18.8 PPG (10th). Meanwhile, Indianapolis has scored 13.8 points a game this season, worst in the league, and Jacksonville is allowing 16.0 PPG (4th).The Jaguars rank 19th in the league in passing yards per game (246.4) and 16th in rushing (115.4). They will be facing a tough test on the ground, as the Colts are fourth in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (96.6). Against the pass, Indianapolis is 15th (229.6).Indianapolis is seventh in the league in passing yards per game (275.2) and 27th in rushing (91.4), while the Jaguars are allowing 229.8 passing yards (17th) and 98.2 rushing yards per game (6th).Indianapolis ranks as one of the weakest red zone threats in the NFL, scoring a touchdown just 40% of the time (28th) when the team moves inside the 20.

TOP PERFORMERS

Through five games, Trevor Lawrence has thrown for eight touchdowns (4 INT) and 246.4 yards per game to lead Jacksonville in passing. In three away games this season, he has six TDs (2 INT) and an average of 237.0 yards passing. James Robinson leads the team in rushing with an average of 57.2 yards a game over five games. He has three touchdowns on the ground. Christian Kirk is the Jaguars’ leading receiver with 67.6 yards a game and three TDs. He is averaging 4.2 receptions on 7.8 targets per game. Matt Ryan has five passing touchdowns (7 INT) with 275.2 yards per game through five games to lead Indianapolis. In two home games this season, he has thrown for four TDs (1 INT) and an average of 289.0 yards. Jonathan Taylor has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 82.0 yards a game through four games. He has one touchdown. Michael Pittman Jr. has been a key target in the Colts’ aerial attack. He has one touchdown and a 70.8 yard per game average through four appearances. Michael Pittman Jr. is averaging 9.0 targets per game (6.2 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Indianapolis Colts (-120)

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