Free NFL Picks Today: Atlanta Falcons vs Arizona Cardinals 1/1/23

Free NFL Picks Today: Atlanta Falcons vs Arizona Cardinals 1/1/23
Sun 1st January 2023

Both teams will be out to end losing runs when the Arizona Cardinals (4-11, 3-3 Away) are on the road to face the Atlanta Falcons (5-10, 4-3 Home) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday. The Falcons are three-point favorites, and the total is 42. Arizona is coming off a tight 19-16 loss at the hands of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at State Farm Stadium last Sunday, their fifth consecutive defeat.

Trace McSorley was 24 of 45 for 217 yards and an interception. James Conner ran 15 times for 79 yards and a touchdown. He added seven receptions for 41 yards. Greg Dortch was targeted 11 times, catching 10 passes for 98 yards. Atlanta dropped a fourth straight game last Saturday, falling 17-9 to the Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium.

Desmond Ridder threw for 218 yards. Tyler Allgeier carried 18 times for 74 yards and added four catches for 43 yards. Drake London was targeted nine times, hauling in seven receptions for 96 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since October 2019, a 34-33 win for the Cardinals.


The Cardinals are averaging 20.5 points per game for the season, 21st in the NFL, and they are facing a Falcons defense that has surrendered 23.3 PPG (23rd). Meanwhile, Atlanta has scored 21.0 points a game this season, 17th in the league, and Arizona is allowing 26.1 PPG (30th).

The Cardinals rank 16th in the league in passing yards per game (235.7) and 20th in rushing (112.4), while the Falcons are 24th in passing yards allowed per game (248.8) and 24th against the run (133.5).Atlanta has been one of the league’s top rushing teams, averaging 160.8 yards per game (3rd), while ranking 31st in passing yards (168.9).

The Cardinals are allowing 255.6 passing yards (25th) and 114.3 rushing yards per game (12th). Arizona is averaging an NFL-worst 2.6 red zone trips a game this season, finding the end zone 59% of the time (11th).


Through 11 games, Kyler Murray has thrown for 14 touchdowns (7 INT) and 215.3 yards per game to lead Arizona in passing. In four away games this season, he has six TDs (5 INT) and an average of 258.0 yards passing. James Conner leads the team in rushing with an average of 58.6 yards a game over 12 games.

He has seven touchdowns on the ground. DeAndre Hopkins is the Cardinals’ leading receiver with 79.7 yards a game and three TDs. He is averaging 7.1 receptions on 10.7 targets per game.Marcus Mariota has 15 passing touchdowns (9 INT) with 170.7 yards per game through 13 games to lead Atlanta.

In seven home games this season, he has thrown for seven TDs (4 INT) and an average of 166.1 yards. Tyler Allgeier has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 58.4 yards a game through 14 games. He has three total touchdowns, two rushing and one receiving. Drake London has been a key target in the Falcons’ aerial attack. He has four touchdowns and a 46.6 yard per game average through 15 appearances.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Atlanta Falcons (-300)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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