Free NFL Picks Today: Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots 12/12/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots 12/12/22
Mon 12th December 2022

The Arizona Cardinals (4-8, 1-6 Home) play host to the New England Patriots (6-6, 3-3 Away) at State Farm Stadium on Monday. The Patriots are 1.5-point favorites, and the total is 43.5. New England is coming off a 24-10 loss to the Buffalo Bills at Gillette Stadium last Thursday.

Mac Jones was 22 of 36 for 195 yards and a touchdown. Rhamondre Stevenson ran 10 times for 54 yards. Marcus Jones caught two passes for 51 yards and a touchdown. Arizona lost 25-24 to the Los Angeles Chargers at State Farm Stadium on November 27. Kyler Murray threw for 191 yards, two touchdowns, and an interception. James Conner carried 25 times for 120 yards. DeAndre Hopkins also scored once. He had four receptions for 87 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since November 2020, a 20-17 win for the Patriots.


The Patriots are averaging 20.8 points per game for the season, 20th in the NFL, and they are facing a Cardinals defense that has surrendered 26.8 PPG (31st). Meanwhile, Arizona has scored 22.0 points a game this season, 16th in the league, and New England is allowing 18.8 PPG (7th).

The Patriots rank 20th in the league in passing yards per game (231.8) and 23rd in rushing (104.9), while the Cardinals are 24th in passing yards allowed per game (260.1) and 11th against the run (110.8).

Arizona is 15th in the league in passing yards per game (240.5) and 21st in rushing (114.9), while the Patriots are allowing 220.8 passing yards (11th) and 111.2 rushing yards per game (12th).

New England is averaging 2.7 trips to the red zone a game this season, second lowest in the NFL, finding the end zone 38% of the time (31st). The Patriots will be looking to improve on those numbers against the league’s weakest red zone defense, as the Cardinals have allowed opponents to score on 69% of red zone trips.

Arizona ranks as the one of the lowest volume red zone offenses in the league, advancing inside the 20-yard-line just 2.8 times per game (29th) and scoring a touchdown on 62% of those possessions (8th).


Through nine games, Mac Jones has thrown for seven touchdowns (7 INT) and 218.1 yards per game to lead New England in passing. In four away games this season, he has five TDs (3 INT) and an average of 260.2 yards passing.

Rhamondre Stevenson leads the team in rushing with an average of 61.2 yards a game over 12 games. He’s also contributed to the passing game with 31.9 receiving yards a game. He has four touchdowns on the ground. Jakobi Meyers is the Patriots’ leading receiver with 59.3 yards a game and three TDs.

Kyler Murray has 14 passing touchdowns (7 INT) with 235.9 yards per game through 10 games to lead Arizona. In six home games this season, he has thrown for eight TDs (2 INT) and an average of 221.2 yards.

James Conner has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 52.9 yards a game through nine games. He has five total touchdowns, four rushing and one receiving.

DeAndre Hopkins has been the primary target in the Cardinals’ aerial attack. He has three touchdowns and a 95.7 yard per game average through six appearances. DeAndre Hopkins is averaging 10.7 targets per game (8.2 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Arizona Cardinals (+115)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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