Free NFL Picks Today: Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers 10/2/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers 10/2/22
Sun 2nd October 2022

The Los Angeles Chargers (1-2, 0-1 Away) travel to face the Houston Texans (0-2-1, 0-0-1 Home), who are still pursuing their first win, at NRG Stadium on Sunday. The Chargers are five-point favorites, and the total is 45. Los Angeles is coming off a crushing 38-10 loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars at SoFi Stadium last Sunday. Justin Herbert was 25 of 45 for 297 yards with a touchdown and an interception. Sony Michel ran five times for 22 yards. Joshua Palmer was targeted nine times, catching six passes for 99 yards. Houston lost 23-20 to the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field last Sunday. Davis Mills threw for 245 yards, a touchdown, and two interceptions. Dameon Pierce carried 20 times for 80 yards and a touchdown. Chris Moore had three receptions for 63 yards.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The Texans won the only game between the teams last season, a 41-29 victory in December. Mills threw two touchdowns for Houston, as Rex Burkhead added two TDs. Justin Jackson had two touchdowns for Los Angeles.

TALE OF THE TAPE

The Chargers are averaging 19.3 points per game so far this season, 16th in the NFL, and they are facing a Texans defense that has surrendered 19.7 PPG (12th). Meanwhile, Houston has scored 16.3 points a game this season, 26th in the league, and Los Angeles is allowing 28.0 PPG (29th).The Chargers rank as one of the league’s top teams in passing yards per game (303.3, 5th), while they are 32nd in rushing yards (59.0). The Texans are 12th in passing yards allowed per game (225.7) and 32nd against the run (202.3).Houston is 23rd in the league in passing yards per game (220.7) and 27th in rushing (83.0), while the Chargers are allowing 264.0 passing yards (20th) and 102.7 rushing yards per game (11th).Houston ranks as the one of the lowest volume red zone offenses in the NFL, moving inside the 20-yard-line only 2.0 times per game (33rd) and scoring a touchdown on 50% of those possessions (21st).

TOP PERFORMERS

Through three games, Herbert has thrown for seven touchdowns (2 INT) and 303.3 yards per game to lead Los Angeles in passing. In one previous away game this season, he had three TDs (1 INT) and 334 yards passing. Austin Ekeler leads the team in rushing with an average of 26.7 yards a game over three games. He’s also contributed to the aerial attack with 46.3 receiving yards a game. DeAndre Carter is the Chargers’ leading receiver with 50.0 yards a game and one TD. Mills has three passing touchdowns (2 INT) with 220.7 yards per game through three games to lead Houston. In one previous home game this season, he threw for two TDs and 240 yards. Pierce has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 60.7 yards a game through three games. He has one touchdown. Brandin Cooks has been the primary target in the Texans’ passing game, averaging 52.7 yards per game through three appearances. Cooks is averaging 9.7 targets per game (4.3 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

LA Chargers (-250)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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