The Indianapolis Colts (3-4-1, 1-2-1 Away) are on the road to take on the New England Patriots (4-4, 1-2 Home) at Gillette Stadium on Sunday. The Patriots are five-point favorites, and the total is 40.5.
Indianapolis is coming off a narrow 17-16 loss to the Washington Commanders at Lucas Oil Stadium last Sunday. Sam Ehlinger threw for 201 yards. Jonathan Taylor ran 16 times for 76 yards. Alec Pierce caught three passes for 65 yards.
New England beat the New York Jets 22-17 at MetLife Stadium last Sunday. Mac Jones was 24 of 35 for 194 yards, a touchdown, and an interception. Rhamondre Stevenson carried 16 times for 71 yards and added seven catches for 72 yards.
The Colts won the only meeting between the teams last season, a 27-17 victory in December. Carson Wentz tossed one touchdown for Indianapolis, as Jonathan Taylor added a rushing TD. Mac Jones tossed two touchdowns for New England, as Hunter Henry found the end zone twice.
TALE OF THE TAPE
The Colts are averaging 16.1 points per game for the season, 30th in the NFL, and they are facing a Patriots defense that has surrendered 20.4 PPG (12th). Meanwhile, New England has scored 22.1 points a game this season, 17th in the league, and Indianapolis is allowing 19.6 PPG (7th).
The Colts rank as one of the league’s worst teams in rushing yards per game (87.8, 29th), while they are 7th in passing yards (276.1). The Patriots are 20th in passing yards allowed per game (242.0) and 22nd against the run (126.0).
New England is 23rd in the league in passing yards per game (226.4) and 13th in rushing (123.1), while the Colts are allowing 215.5 passing yards (7th) and 120.0 rushing yards per game (17th).
Indianapolis is averaging 2.9 red zone trips a game this season, fourth lowest in the NFL, finding the end zone 48% of the time (26th). New England ranks as one of the least productive red zone offenses in the league, scoring a touchdown on just 46% (29th) of the team’s possessions inside the 20.
Through seven games, Matt Ryan has thrown for nine touchdowns (9 INT) and 286.9 yards per game to lead Indianapolis in passing. In four away games this season, he has two TDs (8 INT) and an average of 260.2 yards passing.
Jonathan Taylor leads the team in rushing with an average of 77.0 yards a game over six games. He has one touchdown on the ground. Michael Pittman Jr. is the Colts’ leading receiver with 75.4 yards a game and one TD. He is averaging 7.3 receptions on 10.0 targets per game.
Mac Jones has three passing touchdowns (7 INT) with 198.6 yards per game through five games to lead New England. In two home games this season, he has thrown for 167.0 yards per game with no TDs and three interceptions.
Rhamondre Stevenson has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 69.8 yards a game through eight games. He has four touchdowns. Jakobi Meyers has been the primary target in the Patriots’ passing game.
He has three touchdowns and a 69.2 yard per game average through six appearances. Jakobi Meyers is averaging 7.7 targets per game (5.8 receptions).
SportsTips’ NFL Pick:
NE Patriots (-250)
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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.