Free NFL Picks Today: Washington Commanders vs Green Bay Packers 10/23/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Washington Commanders vs Green Bay Packers 10/23/22
Sun 23rd October 2022

The Green Bay Packers (3-3, 1-1 Away) are on the road to face the Washington Commanders (2-4, 1-2 Home) at FedEx Field on Sunday. The Packers are 4.5-point favorites, and the total is 41.5. Green Bay is coming off a 27-10 loss at the hands of the New York Jets at Lambeau Field last Sunday.

Aaron Rodgers was 26 of 41 for 246 yards and a touchdown. AJ Dillon ran 10 times for 41 yards. Robert Tonyan was targeted 12 times, catching 10 passes for 90 yards. Washington beat the Chicago Bears 12-7 at Soldier Field last Thursday. Carson Wentz threw for 99 yards. Brian Robinson Jr. carried 17 times for 60 yards and a touchdown. Terry McLaurin caught three receptions for 41 yards.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The Packers won the only game between the teams last season, a 24-10 victory in October. Aaron Rodgers threw three touchdowns for Green Bay.

TALE OF THE TAPE

The Packers are averaging 17.8 points per game for the season, 24th in the NFL, and they are facing a Commanders defense that has surrendered 22.5 PPG (18th). Meanwhile, Washington has scored 17.0 points a game this season, 29th in the league, and Green Bay is allowing 20.5 PPG (15th).

The Packers rank 17th in the league in passing yards per game (246.0) and 13th in rushing (122.3), while the Commanders are 19th in passing yards allowed per game (244.2) and 25th against the run (131.7).Washington is 15th in the league in passing yards per game (248.2) and 24th in rushing (95.5).

Green Bay’s defense is likely to present a challenge through the air, as the Packers are No. 1 in the league in passing yards allowed per game (180.2). Against the run, the Packers are 27th (135.2).Washington ranks as the one of the lowest volume red zone offenses in the NFL, moving inside the 20-yard-line only 2.3 times per game (33rd) and scoring a touchdown on 57% of those possessions (17th).

TOP PERFORMERS

Through six games, Aaron Rodgers has thrown for nine touchdowns (3 INT) and 233.8 yards per game to lead Green Bay in passing. In two away games this season, he has two TDs (2 INT) and an average of 225.0 yards passing. Aaron Jones leads the team in rushing with an average of 68.2 yards a game over six games. He has one touchdown on the ground.

Allen Lazard is the Packers’ leading receiver with 57.0 yards a game and four TDs. Carson Wentz has 10 passing touchdowns (6 INT) with 248.2 yards per game through six games to lead Washington. In three home games this season, he has thrown for six TDs (3 INT) and an average of 294.3 yards.

Antonio Gibson has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 35.7 yards a game through six games. He has two touchdowns. Terry McLaurin has been a key target in the Commanders’ passing game. He has one touchdown and a 61.2 yard per game average through six appearances.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

GB Packers (-225)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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