Free NFL Picks Today: Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns 12/11/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns 12/11/22
Sun 11th December 2022

The Cleveland Browns (5-7, 2-4 Away) head to face the Cincinnati Bengals (8-4, 4-1 Home), who will be looking to add to their winning streak, at Paycor Stadium on Sunday. The Bengals are 5.5-point favorites, and the total is 46.5.

Cleveland is coming off a 27-14 win over the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium last Sunday. Deshaun Watson threw for 131 yards and an interception. Nick Chubb ran 17 times for 80 yards. Donovan Peoples-Jones caught three passes for 44 yards. Cincinnati won for the fourth straight game last Sunday, beating the Kansas City Chiefs 27-24 at Paycor Stadium.

Joe Burrow was 25 of 31 for 286 yards and two touchdowns. Samaje Perine carried 21 times for 106 yards and added six catches for 49 yards. Ja’Marr Chase was targeted eight times, hauling in seven receptions for 97 yards.


The Browns won the first meeting between the teams this season, a 32-13 victory in October, their fifth straight win against Cincinnati. Jacoby Brissett tossed one touchdown for Cleveland, as Amari Cooper scored once. Joe Burrow tossed two touchdowns for Cincinnati.


The Browns are averaging 24.2 points per game for the season, 10th in the NFL, and they are facing a Bengals defense that has surrendered 21.3 PPG (13th). Meanwhile, Cincinnati has scored 26.0 points a game this season, seventh in the league, and Cleveland is allowing 25.0 PPG (27th).

The Browns rank as one of the league’s top teams in rushing yards per game (156.0, 4th), while they are 21st in passing yards (228.3). The Bengals are 14th in passing yards allowed per game (226.2) and 15th against the run (114.3).

Cincinnati has been one of the league’s top passing teams, averaging 290.9 passing yards per game (3rd), while ranking 26th in rushing yards (100.9). The Browns are allowing 228.3 passing yards (15th) and 127.4 rushing yards per game (22nd).

Cincinnati ranks as one of the biggest red zone threats in the NFL, scoring a touchdown 67% of the time (4th) when the team moves inside the 20.


Through 11 games, Jacoby Brissett has thrown for 12 touchdowns (6 INT) and 237.1 yards per game to lead Cleveland in passing. In five away games this season, he has five TDs (1 INT) and an average of 235.0 yards passing. Nick Chubb leads the team in rushing with an average of 93.3 yards a game over 12 games.

He has 12 touchdowns on the ground. Amari Cooper is the Browns’ leading receiver with 69.3 yards a game and seven TDs. He is averaging 5.1 receptions on 8.5 targets per game.

Joe Burrow has 25 passing touchdowns (8 INT) with 287.2 yards per game through 12 games to lead Cincinnati. In five home games this season, he has thrown for 10 TDs (4 INT) and an average of 319.6 yards.

Joe Mixon has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 60.5 yards a game through 10 games. He also has been valuable as a receiver, racking up 31.4 yards a game through the air. He has eight total touchdowns, six rushing and two receiving.

Tee Higgins has been the primary target in the Bengals’ aerial attack. He has five touchdowns and a 78.3 yard per game average through 11 appearances. Tee Higgins is averaging 7.7 targets per game (5.5 receptions).


Cincinnati has won four straight at home this season.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Cleveland Browns (+165)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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