Free MLB Picks Today: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies 6/15/23

Free MLB Picks Today: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies 6/15/23
Thu 15th June 2023

The Arizona Diamondbacks (41-27) host the Philadelphia Phillies (34-34) at Chase Field on Thursday with the home team eyeing a split of the four-game series.

The Phillies lead the series 2-1 after winning 4-3 in 10 innings on Wednesday, their third head-to-head victory in six games this season. Reliever Craig Kimbrel was credited with the win after throwing one scoreless inning, and Jose Alvarado picked up his sixth save with a scoreless ninth.

J.T. Realmuto was 1 for 4 with a home run and two RBIs in the win. Geraldo Perdomo went 3 for 4 with a double and one run for the Diamondbacks. Christian Walker added a home run and three RBIs.

ON THE MOUND

Aaron Nola (5-5, 4.60 ERA) is set to take the mound for Philadelphia. The right-hander allowed six runs over 6.1 innings in his last start, a 9-0 road defeat against the Dodgers on Saturday.

He was charged with the loss, scattering seven hits while striking out seven and walking two. Nola is making his first appearance against the Diamondbacks this season. Nola made one start against the Diamondbacks in 2022, a 12-3 road loss on August 30.

He surrendered eight runs on 10 hits over four innings, striking out five. For Arizona, RHP Ryne Nelson (3-3, 4.95 ERA) takes the mound. He has made one prior start against the Phillies this season, giving up one run over six innings in a 4-3 road win on May 23.

He gave up three hits while striking out four in the no-decision. In his last start on Saturday, Nelson got the win on the road against the Tigers. He threw 5.2 scoreless innings and gave up four hits, striking out four and walking two in the 5-0 victory.

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, Philadelphia has averaged 6.8 runs a game, up from their season average of 4.5, while performing better across the board (.308/.379/.508). Against righties like Nelson this season, the Phils have a .755 OPS.

Brandon Marsh is the team’s biggest on-base threat against right-handers with a .376 OBP in 189 at-bats. Arizona is averaging 5.4 runs per game in the last five, up slightly from 5.2 for the season.

The D-backs have a .777 OPS against right-handers in 2023, the fourth highest in the league. With a 1.084 OPS over 161 at-bats, Corbin Carroll has been their best hitter against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

Philadelphia is 15-23 away from Citizens Bank Park in 2023, scoring 4.4 runs per game while allowing 5.5 runs. Arizona has gone 21-16 in front of their home fans this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game while surrendering 4.5. In the last 10 games at Chase Field between the teams, Arizona is 7-3 despite an average scoreline favoring Philadelphia (6.2-6.1).

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Phillies are third in the NL East, eight games behind the division-leading Braves. The Diamondbacks lead the NL West by three games over the Dodgers.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Philadelphia Phillies (-130)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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