Free NFL Picks Today: Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles 9/25/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles 9/25/22
Sun 25th September 2022

The Washington Commanders (1-1, 1-0 Home) play host to the Philadelphia Eagles (2-0, 1-0 Away) at FedEx Field on Sunday. The Eagles are 6.5-point favorites, and the total is 47. Philadelphia is coming off a convincing 24-7 win over the Minnesota Vikings at Lincoln Financial Field on Monday. Jalen Hurts was 26 of 31 for 333 yards with a touchdown and an interception. Miles Sanders ran 17 times for 80 yards. Dallas Goedert caught five passes for 82 yards. Washington lost 36-27 to the Detroit Lions at Ford Field last Sunday. Carson Wentz threw for 337 yards, three touchdowns, and an interception. Antonio Gibson carried 14 times for 28 yards and a touchdown. Curtis Samuel also scored once. He was targeted nine times, hauling in seven receptions for 78 yards.


The Eagles won both games between the teams last season, including a 20-16 win in their last meeting in January. Boston Scott had two touchdowns for Philadelphia.


The Eagles are averaging 31.0 points per game so far this season, fourth in the NFL, and they are facing a Commanders defense that has surrendered 29.0 PPG (27th). Meanwhile, Washington has scored 27.5 points a game this season, eighth in the league, and Philadelphia is allowing 21.0 PPG (14th). The Eagles rank as one of the league’s top teams in rushing yards per game (189.5, 2nd), while they are 7th in passing yards (288.0). Look for them to exploit a matchup advantage on the ground, as the Commanders are 28th in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (157.0). Against the pass, Washington is 21st (265.5).Washington has been one of the league’s top passing teams, averaging 325.0 passing yards per game (2nd), while ranking 24th in rushing yards (86.5). The Eagles are allowing 218.0 passing yards (12th) and 121.5 rushing yards per game (20th).Philadelphia is averaging 3.5 trips to the red zone a game so far this season, third lowest in the NFL, finding the end zone 71% of the time (9th). Washington ranks as the biggest red zone threat in the league despite being one of the lowest volume red zone teams. The Commanders move inside the 20-yard-line only 2.5 times per game (31st), yet they score a touchdown on 100% of those possessions (1st).


Through two games, Hurts has thrown for one touchdown (1 INT) and 288.0 yards per game to lead Philadelphia in passing. In one prior away game this season, he had zero TDs and 243 yards passing. Sanders leads the team in rushing with an average of 88.0 yards a game over two games. He has one touchdown on the ground. A.J. Brown is the Eagles’ leading receiver with 112.0 yards a game. He is averaging 7.5 receptions on 10.5 targets per game. Wentz has seven passing touchdowns (3 INT) with 325.0 yards per game through two games to lead Washington. In one prior home game this season, he threw for four TDs (2 INT) and 313 yards. Gibson has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 43.0 yards a game through two games. He also has been valuable as a receiver, accumulating 42.5 yards a game through the air. He has one touchdown. Samuel has been a key target in the Commanders’ passing game. He has two touchdowns and a 66.5 yard per game average through two appearances. Samuel is averaging 10.0 targets per game (7.5 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Philadelphia Eagles (-275)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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