Free NFL Picks Today: Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts 11/13/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts 11/13/22
Sun 13th November 2022

The Indianapolis Colts (3-5-1, 1-3-1 Away) will be looking to end their losing run when they travel to face the Las Vegas Raiders (2-6, 2-1 Home) at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday. The Raiders are 4.5-point favorites, and the total is 41.

Indianapolis is coming off a one-sided 26-3 loss at the hands of the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium last Sunday, their third straight defeat. Sam Ehlinger was 15 of 29 for 103 yards and an interception.

He also ran five times for 39 yards. Las Vegas lost 27-20 to the Jacksonville Jaguars at TIAA Bank Field last Sunday. Derek Carr threw for 259 yards and two touchdowns. Josh Jacobs carried 17 times for 67 yards. Davante Adams scored twice. He was targeted 17 times, hauling in 10 receptions for 146 yards.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The Raiders won the only game between the teams last season, a 23-20 victory in January. Derek Carr tossed one touchdown for Las Vegas, as Josh Jacobs added a rushing TD.

TALE OF THE TAPE

The Colts are averaging 14.7 points per game for the season, worst in the NFL, and they are facing a Raiders defense that has surrendered 25.1 PPG (27th). Meanwhile, Las Vegas has scored 22.9 points a game this season, 14th in the league, and Indianapolis is allowing 20.3 PPG (13th).

The Colts rank as one of the league’s worst teams in rushing yards per game (86.7, 30th), while they are 9th in passing yards (256.9). The Raiders are 24th in passing yards allowed per game (264.6) and 14th against the run (116.0).

Las Vegas is 13th in the league in passing yards per game (244.5) and 19th in rushing (110.3). Indianapolis’ defense is likely to present a challenge through the air, as the Colts are 5th in the league in passing yards allowed per game (207.9).

Against the run, the Colts are 12th (114.4). Indianapolis is averaging 2.8 red zone trips a game this season, fourth lowest in the NFL, finding the end zone 44% of the time (31st).

The Colts will be looking to improve on those numbers against one of the league’s weakest red zone defenses, as the Raiders have allowed opponents to score on 74% of red zone trips (31st).

TOP PERFORMERS

Through seven games, Matt Ryan has thrown for nine touchdowns (9 INT) and 286.9 yards per game to lead Indianapolis in passing. In four away games this season, he has two TDs (8 INT) and an average of 260.2 yards passing.

Jonathan Taylor leads the team in rushing with an average of 77.0 yards a game over six games. He has one touchdown on the ground. Michael Pittman Jr. is the Colts’ leading receiver with 68.8 yards a game and one TD.

He is averaging 6.8 receptions on 9.5 targets per game. Derek Carr has 11 passing touchdowns (5 INT) with 235.0 yards per game through eight games to lead Las Vegas. In three home games this season, he has thrown for three TDs and an average of 227.0 yards.

Josh Jacobs has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 92.9 yards a game through eight games. He has six touchdowns. Davante Adams has been a key target in the Raiders’ passing game.

He has seven touchdowns and an 82.2 yard per game average through eight appearances. Davante Adams is averaging 10.6 targets per game (6.0 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Under 41 (-110)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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