Free NFL Picks Today: Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans 12/24/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans 12/24/22
Sat 24th December 2022

Both teams will be looking to end losing runs when the Tennessee Titans (7-7, 3-3 Home) play host to the Houston Texans (1-12-1, 1-6-0 Away) at Nissan Stadium on Saturday.

The Titans are three-point favorites, and the total is 35.5. Houston is coming off a 30-24 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs at NRG Stadium on Sunday, their ninth consecutive defeat.

Davis Mills threw for 121 yards and two touchdowns. Royce Freeman ran 11 times for 51 yards. Chris Moore was targeted eight times, catching four passes for 42 yards.

Tennessee dropped a fourth straight game on Sunday, falling 17-14 to the Los Angeles Chargers at SoFi Stadium. Ryan Tannehill was 15 of 22 for 185 yards and an interception. Derrick Henry carried 21 times for 104 yards and a touchdown and added four catches for 59 yards.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The Titans won the first meeting between the teams this season, a 17-10 victory in October.

TALE OF THE TAPE

The Texans are averaging 16.8 points per game for the season, 30th in the NFL, and they are facing a Titans defense that has surrendered 20.9 PPG (12th). Meanwhile, Tennessee has scored 18.2 points a game this season, 26th in the league, and Houston is allowing 24.6 PPG (26th).

The Texans rank as one of the league’s worst teams in rushing yards per game (90.2, 29th), while they are 26th in passing yards (207.3). They will face a particularly tough test on the ground, as the Titans are second in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (80.8). Against the pass, Tennessee is 32nd (301.6).

Tennessee has been one of the league’s least successful passing teams, averaging 194.1 passing yards per game (28th), while ranking 15th in rushing yards (121.6). The Texans are allowing 234.7 passing yards (18th) and 167.5 rushing yards per game (32nd).

Houston has found the end zone on 46% of red zone trips this season, sixth lowest in the NFL, averaging 2.8 trips a game (27th). Tennessee ranks as one of the biggest red zone threats in the league despite averaging the fewest red zone attempts. The Titans move inside the 20-yard-line only 2.6 times per game (32nd), yet they score a touchdown on 68% of those possessions (5th).

TOP PERFORMERS

Through 12 games, Davis Mills has thrown for 13 touchdowns (12 INT) and 203.3 yards per game to lead Houston in passing. In six away games this season, he has four TDs (5 INT) and an average of 226.3 yards passing. Dameon Pierce leads the team in rushing with an average of 72.2 yards a game over 13 games.

He has four touchdowns on the ground. Brandin Cooks is the Texans’ leading receiver with 52.0 yards a game and one TD. He is averaging 4.4 receptions on 7.1 targets per game.

Ryan Tannehill has 13 passing touchdowns (6 INT) with 211.3 yards per game through 12 games to lead Tennessee.

In six home games this season, he has thrown for seven TDs (2 INT) and an average of 243.7 yards. Derrick Henry has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 93.1 yards a game through 14 games. He has 12 touchdowns.

Robert Woods has been the primary target in the Titans’ passing game. He has one touchdown and a 29.9 yard per game average through 14 appearances.

HOME AND AWAY

Houston is looking to end a four-game losing run away from home this season.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Tennessee Titans (-175)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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