Free NFL Picks Today: New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons 12/18/22

Free NFL Picks Today: New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons 12/18/22
Sun 18th December 2022

The Atlanta Falcons (5-8, 1-5 Away) are on the road to take on the New Orleans Saints (4-9, 3-4 Home) at Caesars Superdome on Sunday. The Saints are four-point favorites, and the total is 43.5. Atlanta is coming off a close 19-16 loss at the hands of the Pittsburgh Steelers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on December 4.

Marcus Mariota threw for 167 yards with a touchdown and an interception. Cordarrelle Patterson ran 11 times for 60 yards. Drake London was targeted 12 times, catching six passes for 95 yards. New Orleans lost 17-16 to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium on December 5.

Andy Dalton was 20 of 28 for 250 yards and a touchdown. Mark Ingram II carried seven times for 27 yards. Rashid Shaheed caught four receptions for 75 yards.


The Saints won the first meeting between the teams this season, a 27-26 victory in September. Jameis Winston threw two touchdowns for New Orleans.


The Falcons are averaging 22.2 points per game for the season, 16th in the NFL, and they are facing a Saints defense that has surrendered 22.9 PPG (17th). Meanwhile, New Orleans has scored 20.4 points a game this season, 21st in the league, and Atlanta is allowing 24.0 PPG (22nd).

The Falcons rank as one of the league’s top teams in rushing yards per game (158.9, 4th), while they are 31st in passing yards (170.7). The Saints are 10th in passing yards allowed per game (220.3) and 19th against the run (125.0).

New Orleans is 10th in the league in passing yards per game (249.7) and 22nd in rushing (109.5), while the Falcons are allowing 260.5 passing yards (25th) and 129.5 rushing yards per game (25th).


Through 13 games, Marcus Mariota has thrown for 15 touchdowns (9 INT) and 170.7 yards per game to lead Atlanta in passing. In six away games this season, he has eight TDs (5 INT) and an average of 176.0 yards passing. Tyler Allgeier leads the team in rushing with an average of 50.3 yards a game over 12 games.

He has one touchdown on the ground. Drake London is the Falcons’ leading receiver with 41.0 yards a game and four TDs. Andy Dalton has 15 passing touchdowns (7 INT) with 225.2 yards per game through 10 games to lead New Orleans. In six home games this season, he has thrown for nine TDs (2 INT) and an average of 214.0 yards.

Alvin Kamara has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 50.0 yards a game through 11 games. He also has been valuable as a receiver, racking up 39.4 yards a game through the air.

He has three total touchdowns, one rushing and two receiving. Chris Olave has been a key target in the Saints’ aerial attack. He has three touchdowns and a 73.9 yard per game average through 12 appearances. Chris Olave is averaging 8.2 targets per game (5.0 receptions).


Atlanta is looking to reverse a four-game losing streak on the road this season.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

NO Saints (-210)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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