Free NFL Picks Today: Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10/23/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10/23/22
Sun 23rd October 2022

The Carolina Panthers (1-5, 1-3 Home) will be hoping to snap their losing streak when they welcome the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-3, 2-1 Away) at Bank of America Stadium on Sunday. The Buccaneers are 11-point favorites, and the total is 40.

Tampa Bay is coming off a narrow 20-18 loss at the hands of the Pittsburgh Steelers at Acrisure Stadium last Sunday. Tom Brady threw for 243 yards and a touchdown. Leonard Fournette ran 21 times for 63 yards.

He added six receptions for 38 yards and a touchdown. Chris Godwin was targeted 12 times, catching six passes for 95 yards. Carolina dropped a third straight game last Sunday, falling 24-10 to the Los Angeles Rams at SoFi Stadium. P.J. Walker was 10 of 16 for 119 yards. Christian McCaffrey carried 13 times for 69 yards and added seven catches for 89 yards.


The Buccaneers won both games between the teams last season, including a 41-17 win in their last meeting in January, their fourth straight win against Carolina. Tom Brady threw three touchdowns for Tampa Bay. Sam Darnold tossed two touchdowns for Carolina.


The Buccaneers are averaging 20.2 points per game for the season, 20th in the NFL, and they are facing a Panthers defense that has surrendered 24.3 PPG (23rd). Meanwhile, Carolina has scored 17.2 points a game this season, 27th in the league, and Tampa Bay is allowing 17.2 PPG (5th).

The Buccaneers rank as the league’s worst team in rushing yards per game (67.5, 32nd), while they are 6th in passing yards (275.3). The Panthers are 14th in passing yards allowed per game (231.5) and 26th against the run (133.3).Carolina has been one of the league’s least productive passing teams, averaging 190.2 passing yards per game (29th), while ranking 26th in rushing yards (90.3).

The Buccaneers are allowing 216.0 passing yards (9th) and 109.2 rushing yards per game (14th).Carolina ranks as one of the least productive red zone offenses in the NFL, advancing inside the 20-yard-line only 2.2 times per game (33rd) and scoring a touchdown on just 39% of those possessions (30th). Tampa Bay has had trouble defending their own red zone, allowing opponents to find the end zone 75% of the time (29th).


Through six games, Tom Brady has thrown for eight touchdowns (1 INT) and 275.3 yards per game to lead Tampa Bay in passing. In three away games this season, he has three TDs (1 INT) and an average of 215.0 yards passing. Leonard Fournette leads the team in rushing with an average of 57.2 yards a game over six games.

He’s also contributed to the passing game with 38.7 receiving yards a game. He has one touchdown on the ground. Mike Evans is the Buccaneers’ leading receiver with 71.6 yards a game and three TDs. Baker Mayfield has four passing touchdowns (4 INT) with 192.4 yards per game through five games to lead Carolina.

In four home games this season, he has thrown for three TDs (4 INT) and an average of 204.2 yards. Christian McCaffrey has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 65.5 yards a game through six games. He also tops the team in total receiving yards for the season (46.2 yards a game). He has three total touchdowns, two rushing and one receiving.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

TB Bucs (-700)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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