Free NFL Picks Today: San Francisco 49ers vs Miami Dolphins 12/4/22

Free NFL Picks Today: San Francisco 49ers vs Miami Dolphins 12/4/22
Sun 4th December 2022

The Miami Dolphins (8-3, 3-2 Away) travel to face the San Francisco 49ers (7-4, 4-1 Home) at Levi’s Stadium on Sunday in a clash of teams on winning runs. The 49ers are four-point favorites, and the total is 46.5. Miami is coming off a convincing 30-15 win over the Houston Texans at Hard Rock Stadium last Sunday, their fifth consecutive victory.

Tua Tagovailoa was 22 of 36 for 299 yards and a touchdown. Jeff Wilson Jr. ran 13 times for 39 yards and a touchdown. Jaylen Waddle was targeted 10 times, catching five passes for 85 yards. San Francisco won for the fourth straight game last Sunday, beating the New Orleans Saints 13-0 at Levi’s Stadium.

Jimmy Garoppolo threw for 222 yards and a touchdown. Elijah Mitchell carried seven times for 35 yards. Brandon Aiyuk was targeted eight times, hauling in five receptions for 65 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since October 2020, a 43-17 win for the Dolphins. Ryan Fitzpatrick threw three touchdowns for Miami.


The Dolphins are averaging 25.6 points per game for the season, sixth in the NFL, and they are facing a 49ers defense that has surrendered 15.7 PPG (1st). Meanwhile, San Francisco has scored 22.6 points a game this season, 15th in the league, and Miami is allowing 23.3 PPG (19th).

The Dolphins rank as one of the league’s top teams in passing yards per game (305.8, 2nd), while they are 28th in rushing yards (94.8). The 49ers are 12th in passing yards allowed per game (222.5) and first against the run (79.5).

San Francisco is 13th in the league in passing yards per game (243.2) and 11th in rushing (124.4), while the Dolphins are allowing 250.4 passing yards (21st) and 109.6 rushing yards per game (10th).


Through nine games, Tua Tagovailoa has thrown for 19 touchdowns (3 INT) and 284.9 yards per game to lead Miami in passing. In four away games this season, he has 12 TDs (3 INT) and an average of 315.8 yards passing. Raheem Mostert leads the team in rushing with an average of 54.3 yards a game over 10 games.

He has three touchdowns on the ground. Tyreek Hill is the Dolphins’ leading receiver with 112.1 yards a game and four TDs. He is averaging 7.9 receptions on 10.5 targets per game. Jimmy Garoppolo has 16 passing touchdowns (4 INT) with 238.1 yards per game through 10 games to lead San Francisco.

In five home games this season, he has thrown for five TDs (1 INT) and an average of 231.6 yards. Jeff Wilson Jr. has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 58.5 yards a game through eight games. He has two touchdowns. Brandon Aiyuk has been the primary target in the 49ers’ passing game. He has six touchdowns and a 59.3 yard per game average through 11 appearances.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Over 45.5 (-110)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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