Free NFL Picks Today: Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets 12/11/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets 12/11/22
Sun 11th December 2022

The Buffalo Bills (9-3, 4-1 Home) will be looking to build on their winning streak when they play host to the New York Jets (7-5, 4-2 Away) at Highmark Stadium on Sunday. The Bills are 10-point favorites, and the total is 43. New York is coming off a 27-22 loss at the hands of the Minnesota Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium last Sunday. Mike White threw for 369 yards and two interceptions.

Zonovan Knight ran 15 times for 90 yards. Garrett Wilson was targeted 15 times, catching eight passes for 162 yards. Buffalo won for the third straight game last Thursday, beating the New England Patriots 24-10 at Gillette Stadium. Josh Allen was 22 of 33 for 223 yards and two touchdowns.

James Cook carried 14 times for 64 yards and added six catches for 41 yards. Stefon Diggs scored once. He was targeted nine times, hauling in seven receptions for 92 yards.


The Jets won the first meeting between the teams this season, a 20-17 victory in November. Zach Wilson threw one touchdown for New York.


The Jets are averaging 21.0 points per game for the season, 18th in the NFL, and they are facing a Bills defense that has surrendered 17.4 PPG (4th). Meanwhile, Buffalo has scored 27.8 points a game this season, third in the league, and New York is allowing 18.6 PPG (6th).

The Jets rank 16th in the league in passing yards per game (240.3) and 20th in rushing (115.1). They can expect a tough test on the ground, as the Bills are fifth in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (101.8). Against the pass, Buffalo is 19th (235.9).

Buffalo has been one of the league’s top passing teams, averaging 284.5 passing yards per game (4th), while ranking eighth in rushing yards (136.3). The Jets are allowing 213.6 passing yards (7th) and 112.7 rushing yards per game (12th).


Through seven games, Zach Wilson has thrown for four touchdowns (5 INT) and 182.7 yards per game to lead New York in passing. In four away games this season, he has one TD (2 INT) and an average of 140.0 yards passing. Breece Hall leads the team in rushing with an average of 66.1 yards a game over seven games.

He’s also contributed to the passing game with 31.1 receiving yards a game. He has four touchdowns on the ground. Garrett Wilson is the Jets’ leading receiver with 65.8 yards a game and four TDs. He is averaging 4.8 receptions on 7.8 targets per game.

Josh Allen has 25 passing touchdowns (11 INT) with 283.8 yards per game through 12 games to lead Buffalo. In five home games this season, he has thrown for 12 TDs (5 INT) and an average of 297.2 yards.

Devin Singletary has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 50.3 yards a game through 12 games. He has five total touchdowns, four rushing and one receiving.

Stefon Diggs has been a star in the Bills’ passing game. He has 10 touchdowns and a 100.2 yard per game average through 12 appearances. Stefon Diggs is averaging 10.7 targets per game (7.6 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Buffalo Bills -10 (-110)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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