Free NFL Picks Today: New England Patriots vs New York Jets 11/20/22

Free NFL Picks Today: New England Patriots vs New York Jets 11/20/22
Sun 20th November 2022

The New England Patriots (5-4, 2-2 Home) play host to the New York Jets (6-3, 4-0 Away) at Gillette Stadium on Sunday. The Patriots are 3.5-point favorites, and the total is 38. New York is coming off a tight 20-17 win over the Buffalo Bills at MetLife Stadium on November 6. Zach Wilson threw for 154 yards and a touchdown.

Michael Carter ran 12 times for 76 yards and a touchdown. Garrett Wilson was targeted nine times, catching eight passes for 92 yards. New England beat the Indianapolis Colts 26-3 at Gillette Stadium on November 6. Mac Jones was 20 of 30 for 147 yards and a touchdown. Rhamondre Stevenson carried 15 times for 60 yards. Hunter Henry had four receptions for 50 yards.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The Patriots won the first meeting between the teams this season, a 22-17 victory in October, their 11th straight win against New York. Mac Jones threw one touchdown for New England. Zach Wilson tossed two touchdowns for New York.

TALE OF THE TAPE

The Jets are averaging 21.8 points per game for the season, 19th in the NFL, and they are facing a Patriots defense that has surrendered 18.4 PPG (6th). Meanwhile, New England has scored 22.6 points a game this season, 14th in the league, and New York is allowing 19.6 PPG (10th).

The Jets rank 19th in the league in passing yards per game (235.8) and 18th in rushing (116.0), while the Patriots are 13th in passing yards allowed per game (226.6) and 19th against the run (120.7).

New England is 25th in the league in passing yards per game (217.6) and 17th in rushing (117.2), while the Jets are allowing 218.3 passing yards (10th) and 110.9 rushing yards per game (11th).

New England ranks as one of the weakest red zone threats in the NFL, moving inside the 20-yard-line only 2.9 times per game (29th) and scoring a touchdown on just 46% of those possessions (28th).

TOP PERFORMERS

Through six games, Zach Wilson has thrown for four touchdowns (5 INT) and 200.3 yards per game to lead New York in passing. In three away games this season, he has one TD (2 INT) and an average of 161.0 yards passing. Breece Hall leads the team in rushing with an average of 66.1 yards a game over seven games.

He’s also contributed to the passing game with 31.1 receiving yards a game. He has four touchdowns on the ground. Garrett Wilson is the Jets’ leading receiver with 57.9 yards a game and two TDs.

He is averaging 4.7 receptions on 7.6 targets per game. Mac Jones has four passing touchdowns (7 INT) with 190.0 yards per game through six games to lead New England.

In three home games this season, he has thrown for one TD (4 INT) and an average of 160.3 yards. Rhamondre Stevenson has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 68.7 yards a game through nine games.

He has five total touchdowns, four rushing and one receiving. Jakobi Meyers has been the primary target in the Patriots’ passing game. He has three touchdowns and a 65.3 yard per game average through seven appearances. Jakobi Meyers is averaging 7.4 targets per game (5.7 receptions).

HOME AND AWAY

New York is unbeaten away from MetLife Stadium this season in four games.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

NY Jets (+145)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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