Free NFL Picks Today: Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Rams 11/27/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Rams 11/27/22
Sun 27th November 2022

The Kansas City Chiefs (8-2, 4-1 Home) will be looking to add to their winning streak when they play host to the stumbling Los Angeles Rams (3-7, 1-3 Away) at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday. The Chiefs are 15.5-point favorites, and the total is 42.

Los Angeles is coming off a 27-20 loss to the New Orleans Saints at Caesars Superdome last Sunday, their fourth straight defeat. Matthew Stafford was 11 of 18 for 159 yards and two touchdowns. Cam Akers ran 14 times for 61 yards.

Tutu Atwell caught one pass for 62 yards and a touchdown. Kansas City won for the fourth straight game last Sunday, beating the Los Angeles Chargers 30-27 at SoFi Stadium. Patrick Mahomes threw for 329 yards and three touchdowns. Isiah Pacheco carried 15 times for 107 yards. Travis Kelce had three TDs. He was targeted 10 times, hauling in six receptions for 115 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since November 2018, a 54-51 win for the Rams.


The Rams are averaging 16.8 points per game for the season, 29th in the NFL, and they are facing a Chiefs defense that has surrendered 23.3 PPG (21st). Meanwhile, Kansas City has scored 30.0 points a game this season, best in the league, and Los Angeles is allowing 22.7 PPG (17th).

The Rams rank as one of the league’s worst teams in rushing yards per game (76.1, 31st), while they are 19th in passing yards (237.2). They will be facing a particularly tough test on the ground, as the Chiefs are fifth in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (100.6).

Against the pass, Kansas City is 26th (270.4).Kansas City has been the league’s top passing team, averaging 326.5 passing yards per game, while ranking 18th in rushing yards (114.6). The Rams are allowing 232.8 passing yards (18th) and 95.3 rushing yards per game (4th).

Los Angeles is averaging 2.8 trips to the red zone a game this season, second lowest in the NFL, finding the end zone 50% of the time (24th). The Rams will be looking to improve on those numbers against one of the league’s weakest red zone defenses, as the Chiefs have allowed opponents to score on 70% of red zone trips (30th).

Kansas City ranks as one of the biggest red zone threats in the league, advancing inside the 20-yard-line 4.3 times per game (2nd) and scoring a touchdown on 72% of those possessions (3rd). Los Angeles has been tough to beat when defending their own red zone, holding opponents to a conversion percentage of only 48% (4th).


Through nine games, Matthew Stafford has thrown for 10 touchdowns (8 INT) and 231.9 yards per game to lead Los Angeles in passing. In four away games this season, he has three TDs (1 INT) and an average of 206.8 yards passing. Darrell Henderson Jr. leads the team in rushing with an average of 28.3 yards a game over 10 games. He has three touchdowns on the ground.

Cooper Kupp is the Rams’ leading receiver with 90.2 yards a game and six TDs. He is averaging 8.3 receptions on 10.9 targets per game. Patrick Mahomes has 28 passing touchdowns (7 INT) with 326.5 yards per game through 10 games to lead Kansas City. In five home games this season, he has thrown for 13 TDs (4 INT) and an average of 328.4 yards.

Isiah Pacheco has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 38.6 yards a game through 10 games. He has one touchdown. Travis Kelce has been a key target in the Chiefs’ passing game. He has 11 touchdowns and an 85.5 yard per game average through 10 appearances. Travis Kelce is averaging 9.4 targets per game (6.9 receptions).


Los Angeles is looking to avoid a fourth consecutive loss on the road this season.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Over 42 (-110)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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