Free NFL Picks Today: Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings 10/16/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings 10/16/22
Sun 16th October 2022

The Minnesota Vikings (4-1, 1-1 Away) will be out to extend their winning streak when they are on the road to take on the Miami Dolphins (3-2, 2-0 Home) at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday. The Vikings are three-point favorites, and the total is 45.5. Minnesota is coming off a 29-22 win over the Chicago Bears at U.S. Bank Stadium last Sunday, their third consecutive victory. Kirk Cousins was 32 of 41 for 296 yards with a touchdown and an interception. Dalvin Cook ran 18 times for 94 yards and two touchdowns. Justin Jefferson was targeted 13 times, catching 12 passes for 154 yards. Miami lost 40-17 to the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium last Sunday. Skylar Thompson threw for 166 yards and an interception. Raheem Mostert carried 18 times for 113 yards and a touchdown. Tyreek Hill hauled in seven receptions for 47 yards.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since December 2018, a 41-17 win for the Vikings.

TALE OF THE TAPE

The Vikings are averaging 23.0 points per game for the season, 12th in the NFL, and they are facing a Dolphins defense that has surrendered 26.2 PPG (29th). Meanwhile, Miami has scored 23.0 points a game this season, 12th in the league, and Minnesota is allowing 20.4 PPG (15th).The Vikings rank eighth in the league in passing yards per game (272.6) and 21st in rushing (101.8). They have an advantageous matchup through the air, as the Dolphins are 28th in the league in passing yards allowed per game (290.2). Against the run, Miami is 13th (110.0).Miami has been one of the league’s top passing teams, averaging 278.8 passing yards per game (5th), while ranking 30th in rushing yards (82.8). The Vikings are allowing 262.8 passing yards (23rd) and 120.4 rushing yards per game (19th).

TOP PERFORMERS

Through five games, Kirk Cousins has thrown for seven touchdowns (5 INT) and 265.4 yards per game to lead Minnesota in passing. In two away games this season, he has two TDs (4 INT) and an average of 247.0 yards passing. Dalvin Cook leads the team in rushing with an average of 74.6 yards a game over five games. He has three touchdowns on the ground. Justin Jefferson is the Vikings’ leading receiver with 109.4 yards a game and two TDs. He is averaging 8.0 receptions on 11.0 targets per game. Tua Tagovailoa has eight passing touchdowns (3 INT) with 258.8 yards per game through four games to lead Miami. In two home games this season, he has thrown for two TDs and an average of 228.0 yards. Raheem Mostert has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 52.0 yards a game through five games. He has one touchdown. Tyreek Hill has been a workhorse in the Dolphins’ aerial attack. He has two touchdowns and a 104.8 yard per game average through five appearances. Tyreek Hill is averaging 10.0 targets per game (7.6 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Minnesota Vikings (-165)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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