Free NFL Picks Today: Green Bay Packers vs New England Patriots 10/2/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Green Bay Packers vs New England Patriots 10/2/22
Sun 2nd October 2022

The New England Patriots (1-2, 1-1 Away) are on the road to take on the Green Bay Packers (2-1, 1-0 Home) at Lambeau Field on Sunday. The Packers are 9.5-point favorites, and the total is 40.5. New England is coming off a 37-26 loss against the Baltimore Ravens at Gillette Stadium last Sunday. Mac Jones was 22 of 32 for 321 yards and three interceptions. Rhamondre Stevenson ran 12 times for 73 yards and a touchdown. DeVante Parker was targeted 10 times, catching five passes for 156 yards. Green Bay beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14-12 at Raymond James Stadium last Sunday. Aaron Rodgers threw for 255 yards, two touchdowns, and an interception. Aaron Jones carried 12 times for 36 yards. Romeo Doubs scored once. He was targeted eight times, hauling in eight receptions for 73 yards.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since November 2018, a 31-17 win for the Patriots.

TALE OF THE TAPE

The Patriots are averaging 16.7 points per game so far this season, 25th in the NFL, and they are facing a Packers defense that has surrendered 15.0 PPG (6th). Meanwhile, Green Bay has scored 16.0 points a game this season, 27th in the league, and New England is allowing 23.7 PPG (22nd).The Patriots rank 12th in the league in passing yards per game (262.0) and 13th in rushing (115.7), while the Packers are sixth in passing yards allowed per game (206.0) and 18th against the run (113.3).Green Bay is 17th in the league in passing yards per game (249.7) and ninth in rushing (127.0), while the Patriots are allowing 218.7 passing yards (10th) and 114.7 rushing yards per game (19th).New England is averaging 3.0 red zone trips a game this season, fourth lowest in the NFL, finding the end zone 56% of the time (17th).

TOP PERFORMERS

Through three games, M. Jones has thrown for two touchdowns (5 INT) and 262.0 yards per game to lead New England in passing. In two away games this season, he has two TDs (2 INT) and an average of 232.5 yards passing. Damien Harris leads the team in rushing with an average of 53.3 yards a game over three games. He has two touchdowns on the ground. Nelson Agholor is the Patriots’ leading receiver with 59.7 yards a game and one TD. Rodgers has four passing touchdowns (2 INT) with 228.0 yards per game through three games to lead Green Bay. In one previous home game this season, he threw for two TDs and 234 yards. A. Jones has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 72.3 yards a game through three games. He has two total touchdowns, one rushing and one receiving. Doubs has been a key target in the Packers’ passing game. He has one touchdown and a 45.7 yard per game average through three appearances.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Green Bay Packers (-450)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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