Free NFL Picks Today for Week Twelve, 2023

Our free NFL picks are out for Week Twelve, 2023! Make sure you check our NFL picks before the action kicks off.

Look below to find our free NFL picks for the five best games on today’s schedule!

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati Bengals – 1PM ET

Tony Battalio

The Pittsburgh Steelers come into this game, looking to grab a crucial victory over the Cincinnati Bengals in this one on Sunday afternoon on the road in Cincinnati. They are coming off of a heartbreaking loss to the Cleveland Browns in their previous game and a victory in this game would keep them alive in the AFC north division title race. Heading into the last six weeks of the regular season Pittsburgh has arguably defied expectations that were set for them prior to the season starting, and they find themselves right in the thick of the playoff race coming down the wire. They will be looking to finish the job strong, and it starts with grabbing a victory on the road over the Cincinnati Bengals here on Sunday afternoon for a crucial AFC North divisional win. Pittsburgh has already picked up two wins within the division as they split games with Cleveland and grabbed a win over Baltimore, so grabbing a win over Cincinnati would go a long way helping them win the division. 

The Cincinnati Bengals will be looking to move on without Joe Burrow for the remainder of the season after he was injured in their loss on Thursday night to the Baltimore Ravens. They come into this game hovering at the .500 mark through their first 10 games of the regular season. They will need to have a strong finish to the year if they want to make the playoffs and potentially get back to the AFC championship game as well. At the moment however, without Joe Burrow for the remainder of the season that seems highly unlikely for the Cincinnati Bengals. Now they will just be looking to finish the year strong and gain as much momentum as possible. It was a rough start to the year for Cincinnati before they finally started to hit their stride when Joe Burrow went down with his season ending injury and now they will have to find a way to recover once again. Unfortunately for Cincinnati, I don’t look for it to be in this game as I look for Pittsburgh to pick up the win over the Bengals here in this one on the road.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Indianapolis Colts – 1PM ET

Tony Battalio

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers had a successful start to the season through their first four games of the year, but they were playing some of the worst teams in the league. Their schedule has progressively gotten harder. The results have been less than impressive for Baker Mayfield and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers throughout the last several weeks. They will be desperate to grab a victory here in this game on Sunday afternoon on the road in Indianapolis they look to keep the door open to win the NFC South division. However, they do have a lot of leeway within that division, as it has easily been the worst division in football this season. They come into this game in desperate need of a victory as they look to keep their season on track late in the year. They have lost six out of their first 10 on the season and they will need to pick up their fifth victory in this one to remain in playoff contention.

The Indianapolis Colts had high expectations coming into the season until their first round pick and brand new starting quarterback, Anthony Richardson went down early on in the year. Now it is Gardner Minshew leading the way for this Indianapolis Colts team and he will be looking to lead them to a victory here on Sunday afternoon at home against Baker Mayfield and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. A victory in this game for the Indianapolis Colts would keep them firmly in the wildcard situation in the AFC heading into the final stretch of the regular season, but a loss would put them on the outside looking in and make it almost too much to recover for them. They will have the home field advantage in this one. They’ve been a pretty tough team to beat at home this season and I look for them to pick up a victory here in this one against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to further push that narrative.

New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons – 1PM ET

Tony Battalio

It has been a roller coaster of a season for the New Orleans Saints and they come into this huge divisional matchup looking to grab a victory over the Atlanta Falcons. The NFC South division is wide open and this is one of the most crucial games of the season for both of these teams. The winner of this one would likely firmly establish themselves as the favorites to win the division as well. New Orleans has dealt with plenty of injury issues throughout the year that has seen many of their skill position players miss time at several moments throughout the season. They will be looking to overcome all of that and pick up a solid victory on the road against the Atlanta Falcons here on Sunday afternoon to keep their hopes of winning the division alive. New Orleans comes into this game with five victories, through their first 10 games of the season and they will be looking for their sixth victory of the season here on Sunday to give them some cushion in first place of the division. 

The Atlanta Falcons come into this game hovering below .500 through their first 10 games of the regular season. They have lost six out of their first on the year, but a victory in this one would tie them first within the NFC South division heading into their final seven games of the season. They have been up and down all year and the usage rate of rookie running back Bijan Robinson has also been up and down all year which likely correlates to their lack of success, and their success at certain times throughout the season. Atlanta comes into this game, looking for a crucial victory at home against the New Orleans Saints as they look to keep their playoff hopes alive, and give themselves something to play for throughout the last stretch of the regular season. I expect this to be a quality back-and-forth game, but in the end I do look for the Atlanta Falcons to grab the win at home over the New Orleans Saints. 

Cleveland Browns @ Denver Broncos – 4:05PM ET

Tony Battalio

The Cleveland Browns are in the middle of a very successful season and they are coming off of a huge win over the Pittsburgh Steelers. Despite not having their starting quarterback and their starting running back they got the job done against Pittsburgh and they find themselves in a perfect position heading into the back half of the regular season. They have picked up two consecutive victories over division rivals after beating Baltimore and Pittsburgh and back to back weeks and now they will go on the road as they look to take down the Denver Broncos. Another victory for Cleveland in this game could put them in the upper echelon of seating in the AFC heading into their final six games of the year. They are only a half of a game out of the top seat in the AFC heading into the last half of the regular season, and they could potentially finish as the number one seed if they finish strong and remain consistent throughout the end of the year as well. 

The Denver Broncos had a rough start to the season, but they have picked up plenty of momentum over the last several weeks coming into this game on Sunday against Cleveland. They will be looking to add another victory to their total and keep themselves in the playoff picture in the AFC with another win here on Sunday against a very quality Cleveland Browns team. Russell Wilson is playing solid football throughout the last several weeks and he will be looking to continue doing so against the best defense in the league here on Sunday afternoon at home in Denver. Although the AFC West division is likely out of reach for the Denver Broncos at this point in the year, they still have a legitimate shot at snagging one of the three wildcard spots in the AFC throughout the last seven weeks of the season. I expect this to be a close and competitive game, but in the end I do look for the Cleveland Browns defense to help them pull out the win here in this one. 

Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders – 4:25PM ET

Tony Battalio

The Kansas City Chiefs will be looking to hit the road to Las Vegas and bounce back from their loss on Monday night to the Philadelphia Eagles. A victory in this game would help reestablish them among the upper echelon of teams in the AFC heading into the final six weeks of the regular season. Kansas City is on the cusp of officially clinching the AFC West division as well and a victory in this game would go a long way in helping them accomplish that goal throughout the end of the regular season. This is a Kansas City team that rarely loses a couple of games in a row so they will be looking to make sure to keep that narrative true with another quality performance here on Sunday afternoon against the Las Vegas Raiders. They come into this game with seven victories through their first 10 games of the season and they will be looking for their eighth victory of the season here on Sunday afternoon against Vegas.

The Las Vegas Raiders will be looking to further add to the misery of the Kansas City Chiefs with a victory here on Sunday afternoon at home. They have been playing like an entirely different team after firing their head coach and general manager midway through the regular season and they will be hoping to grab a win in this game to keep them in the playoff conversation heading into the final six weeks of the year. Las Vegas comes into this game one game below the 500 mark through their first 11 games of the season as they are one of the few teams in the league that has yet to have their bye week and they will be relishing a late season bye week at this point in the year. If Las Vegas can manage to pull out the victory in this game, it would put them right in contention for a playoff spot but unfortunately for the Raiders, I just don’t see that happening against the Kansas City Chiefs. As I look for a motivated Kansas City Chiefs team to pick up the victory here on Sunday in Vegas.

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*Odds and spreads correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.