Free NFL Picks Today: Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs 12/4/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs 12/4/22
Sun 4th December 2022

Two of the league’s top scoring offenses are set to meet at Paycor Stadium on Sunday, as the Kansas City Chiefs (9-2, 4-1 Away) head to face the Cincinnati Bengals (7-4, 3-1 Home). The Chiefs are two-point favorites, and the total is 52.5. Kansas City is coming off an impressive 26-10 win over the Los Angeles Rams at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium last Sunday, their fifth consecutive victory.

Patrick Mahomes threw for 320 yards with a touchdown and an interception. Isiah Pacheco ran 22 times for 69 yards and a touchdown. Travis Kelce was targeted eight times, catching four passes for 57 yards and a touchdown. Cincinnati won for the third straight game last Sunday, beating the Tennessee Titans 20-16 at Nissan Stadium.

Joe Burrow was 22 of 37 for 270 yards and a touchdown. Samaje Perine carried 17 times for 58 yards and a touchdown and added four catches for 35 yards. Tee Higgins also scored once. He was targeted nine times, hauling in seven receptions for 114 yards.


The teams last met in last season’s AFC Championship when the Bengals secured their place in the Super Bowl with a 27-24 overtime victory. The Bengals won the only regular season game between the teams last year, a 34-31 victory in January.


The Chiefs are averaging 29.6 points per game for the season, best in the NFL, and they are facing a Bengals defense that has surrendered 21.0 PPG (13th). Meanwhile, Cincinnati has scored 25.9 points a game this season, fifth in the league, and Kansas City is allowing 22.1 PPG (16th).

The Chiefs rank as the league’s top team in passing yards per game (325.9, 1st), while they are 19th in rushing yards (114.8). The Bengals are 14th in passing yards allowed per game (226.5) and 13th against the run (112.2).

Cincinnati has been one of the league’s top passing teams, averaging 291.4 passing yards per game (3rd), while ranking 27th in rushing yards (96.3). The Chiefs are allowing 255.5 passing yards (23rd) and 102.0 rushing yards per game (5th). Kansas City is averaging 4.5 red zone trips a game this season, second most in the NFL, finding the end zone 65% of the time (6th).

Cincinnati ranks as one of the biggest red zone threats in the league, scoring a touchdown on 71% (2nd) of the team’s possessions inside the 20. Kansas City has had difficulty defending their own red zone, allowing opponents to find the end zone 71% of the time (32nd).


Through 11 games, Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 29 touchdowns (8 INT) and 325.9 yards per game to lead Kansas City in passing. In five away games this season, he has 15 TDs (3 INT) and an average of 324.6 yards passing.

Isiah Pacheco leads the team in rushing with an average of 41.4 yards a game over 11 games. He has two touchdowns on the ground. Travis Kelce is the Chiefs’ leading receiver with 82.9 yards a game and 12 TDs. He is averaging 6.6 receptions on 9.3 targets per game.Joe Burrow has 23 passing touchdowns (8 INT) with 287.3 yards per game through 11 games to lead Cincinnati.

In four home games this season, he has thrown for eight TDs (4 INT) and an average of 328.0 yards. Joe Mixon has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 60.5 yards a game through 10 games. He also has been valuable as a receiver, accumulating 31.4 yards a game through the air.

He has eight total touchdowns, six rushing and two receiving. Tee Higgins has been a key target in the Bengals’ passing game. He has four touchdowns and an 82.6 yard per game average through 10 appearances. Tee Higgins is averaging 8.0 targets per game (5.7 receptions).


Kansas City has won three in a row on the road this season. Cincinnati has won three in a row at home this season.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

KC Chiefs (-135)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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