Free NFL Picks Today: Detroit Lions vs Jacksonville Jaguars 12/4/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Detroit Lions vs Jacksonville Jaguars 12/4/22
Sun 4th December 2022

The Detroit Lions (4-7, 2-4 Home) host the Jacksonville Jaguars (4-7, 1-4 Away) at Ford Field on Sunday. The Jaguars are one-point favorites, and the total is 51.5. Jacksonville is coming off a tight 28-27 win over the Baltimore Ravens at TIAA Bank Field last Sunday. Trevor Lawrence was 29 of 37 for 321 yards and three touchdowns.

JaMycal Hasty ran 12 times for 28 yards. He added five receptions for 67 yards and a touchdown. Zay Jones was targeted 14 times, catching 11 passes for 145 yards. Detroit lost 28-25 to the Buffalo Bills at Ford Field last Thursday.

Jared Goff threw for 240 yards and two touchdowns. Jamaal Williams carried 18 times for 66 yards and a touchdown. Amon-Ra St. Brown also scored once. He was targeted 10 times, hauling in nine receptions for 122 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since October 2020, a 34-16 win for the Lions. Matthew Stafford threw one touchdown for Detroit.


The Jaguars are averaging 22.2 points per game for the season, 16th in the NFL, and they are facing a Lions defense that has surrendered 28.2 PPG (32nd). Meanwhile, Detroit has scored 25.0 points a game this season, eighth in the league, and Jacksonville is allowing 21.1 PPG (14th).

The Jaguars rank 14th in the league in passing yards per game (241.4) and ninth in rushing (130.4). They have advantageous matchups through the air and on the ground, as the Lions are 28th in the league in passing yards allowed per game (271.7) and 30th against the run (154.6).

Detroit is 12th in the league in passing yards per game (244.4) and 10th in rushing (129.5), while the Jaguars are allowing 257.8 passing yards (24th) and 114.8 rushing yards per game (15th).Detroit ranks as one of the most productive red zone offenses in the NFL, scoring a touchdown on 71% (2nd) of the team’s possessions inside the 20.


Through 11 games, Trevor Lawrence has thrown for 16 touchdowns (6 INT) and 241.4 yards per game to lead Jacksonville in passing. In five away games this season, he has nine TDs (2 INT) and an average of 227.0 yards passing. Travis Etienne Jr. leads the team in rushing with an average of 66.2 yards a game over 11 games. He has four touchdowns on the ground.

Christian Kirk is the Jaguars’ leading receiver with 65.9 yards a game and seven TDs. He is averaging 5.1 receptions on 8.3 targets per game. Jared Goff has 17 passing touchdowns (7 INT) with 243.8 yards per game through 11 games to lead Detroit. In six home games this season, he has thrown for 15 TDs (3 INT) and an average of 257.8 yards.

Jamaal Williams has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 66.7 yards a game through 11 games. He has 13 touchdowns. Amon-Ra St. Brown has been the primary target in the Lions’ aerial attack. He has four touchdowns and a 71.6 yard per game average through 10 appearances. Amon-Ra St. Brown is averaging 8.8 targets per game (6.5 receptions).


Jacksonville is looking to reverse a three-game losing run on the road this season.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Detroit Lions (-115)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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