Free NFL Picks Today: Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers 11/6/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers 11/6/22
Sun 6th November 2022

Both teams will be looking to end losing runs when the Green Bay Packers (3-5, 1-3 Away) head to face the Detroit Lions (1-6, 1-3 Home) at Ford Field on Sunday. The Packers are 3.5-point favorites, and the total is 49.5.

Green Bay is coming off a 27-17 loss at the hands of the Buffalo Bills at Highmark Stadium last Sunday, their fourth consecutive defeat. Aaron Rodgers was 19 of 30 for 203 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. Aaron Jones ran 20 times for 143 yards. Romeo Doubs caught four passes for 62 yards and a touchdown.

Detroit dropped a fifth straight game last Sunday, falling 31-27 to the Miami Dolphins at Ford Field. Jared Goff threw for 321 yards and a touchdown. Jamaal Williams carried 10 times for 53 yards and two touchdowns. T.J. Hockenson caught three receptions for 80 yards.


The teams split their two meetings last season, the last of which was a 37-30 win for the Lions in January. Jared Goff threw two touchdowns for Detroit. Aaron Rodgers tossed two touchdowns for Green Bay, as Allen Lazard found the end zone twice.


The Packers are averaging 18.1 points per game for the season, 26th in the NFL, and they are facing a Lions defense that has surrendered 32.1 PPG (32nd). Meanwhile, Detroit has scored 24.7 points a game this season, ninth in the league, and Green Bay is allowing 21.6 PPG (16th).

The Packers rank 20th in the league in passing yards per game (234.1) and 15th in rushing (122.5). Look for them to take advantage on the ground, as the Lions are 30th in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (154.9). Against the pass, Detroit is 27th (276.7).

Detroit is eighth in the league in passing yards per game (272.9) and 10th in rushing (136.6). Green Bay’s defense will present a challenge through the air, as the Packers are No. 1 in the league in passing yards allowed per game (187.5). Against the run, the Packers are 29th (141.3).

Green Bay is averaging 2.8 trips to the red zone a game this season, third lowest in the NFL, finding the end zone 59% of the time (13th). The Packers will be looking to improve on those numbers against one of the league’s weakest red zone defenses, as the Lions have allowed opponents to score on 73% of red zone trips (30th).

Detroit ranks as one of the most productive red zone offenses in the league, scoring a touchdown 72% of the time (3rd) when the team advances inside the 20. Green Bay has been tough to beat when defending their own red zone, holding opponents to a conversion percentage of only 46% (4th).


Through eight games, Aaron Rodgers has thrown for 13 touchdowns (4 INT) and 225.0 yards per game to lead Green Bay in passing. In four away games this season, he has six TDs (3 INT) and an average of 211.8 yards passing. Aaron Jones leads the team in rushing with an average of 71.9 yards a game over eight games. He has one touchdown on the ground.

Allen Lazard is the Packers’ leading receiver with 56.7 yards a game and four TDs. Jared Goff has 12 passing touchdowns (6 INT) with 272.0 yards per game through seven games to lead Detroit. In four home games this season, he has thrown for 11 TDs (2 INT) and an average of 292.5 yards.

Jamaal Williams has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 66.3 yards a game through seven games. He has eight touchdowns. T.J. Hockenson has been a key target in the Lions’ aerial attack. He has three touchdowns and a 56.4 yard per game average through seven appearances.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Detroit Lions (+150)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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