Free NFL Picks Today: Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos 10/2/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos 10/2/22
Sun 2nd October 2022

The Denver Broncos (2-1, 0-1 Away) travel to face the Las Vegas Raiders (0-3, 0-1 Home), who will be seeking to snap their winless start, at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday. The Raiders are 2.5-point favorites, and the total is 45.5. Denver is coming off a narrow 11-10 win over the San Francisco 49ers at Empower Field at Mile High last Sunday. Russell Wilson was 20 of 33 for 184 yards. Javonte Williams ran 15 times for 58 yards. Courtland Sutton was targeted 10 times, catching eight passes for 97 yards. Las Vegas dropped a third straight game last Sunday, falling 24-22 to the Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium. Derek Carr threw for 307 yards, two touchdowns, and an interception. Josh Jacobs carried 13 times for 66 yards and added five catches for 31 yards. Mack Hollins scored once. He was targeted 11 times, hauling in eight receptions for 158 yards.


The Raiders won both games between the teams last season, including a 17-13 win in their last meeting in December, their fourth straight win against Denver. Carr threw one touchdown for Las Vegas.


The Broncos are averaging 14.3 points per game so far this season, 31st in the NFL, and they are facing a Raiders defense that has surrendered 25.7 PPG (24th). Meanwhile, Las Vegas has scored 21.3 points a game this season, 10th in the league, and Denver is allowing 12.0 PPG (2nd). The Broncos rank 20th in the league in passing yards per game (247.7) and 12th in rushing (117.7), while the Raiders are 25th in passing yards allowed per game (273.3) and 15th against the run (109.3). Las Vegas has been one of the league’s least successful rushing teams, averaging 80.0 yards per game (28th), while ranking ninth in passing yards (284.7). The Broncos are allowing 194.3 passing yards (4th) and 81.3 rushing yards per game (6th). Denver is averaging 2.3 trips to the red zone a game this season (33rd in the NFL), finding the end zone a league-worst 14% of the time. The Broncos will be looking to improve on those numbers against one of the league’s weakest red zone defenses, as the Raiders have allowed opponents to score on 80% of red zone trips (30th).


Through three games, Wilson has thrown for two touchdowns (1 INT) and 247.7 yards per game to lead Denver in passing. In one prior away game this season, he had one TD and 340 yards passing. Williams leads the team in rushing with an average of 58.7 yards a game over three games. Sutton is the Broncos’ leading receiver with 97.0 yards a game. He is averaging 6.3 receptions on 9.3 targets per game. Carr has six passing touchdowns (4 INT) with 283.3 yards per game through three games to lead Las Vegas. In one previous home game this season, he threw for two TDs and 252 yards. Jacobs has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 64.0 yards a game through three games. Hollins has been the primary target in the Raiders’ passing game. He has one touchdown and an 80.0 yard per game average through three appearances.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

LV Raiders (-150)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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