Free NFL Picks Today: Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills 1/2/23

Free NFL Picks Today: Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills 1/2/23
Mon 2nd January 2023

Both teams will be looking to prolong winning streaks when the Cincinnati Bengals (11-4, 5-1 Home) play host to the Buffalo Bills (12-3, 6-2 Away) at Paycor Stadium on Monday. The Bills are one-point favorites, and the total is 49.5.Buffalo is coming off a runaway 35-13 win over the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field last Saturday, their sixth straight victory. Josh Allen threw for 172 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions.

Devin Singletary ran 12 times for 106 yards and a touchdown. Gabe Davis caught three passes for 45 yards and a touchdown. Cincinnati won for the seventh straight game last Saturday, beating the New England Patriots 22-18 at Gillette Stadium. Joe Burrow was 40 of 52 for 375 yards, three touchdowns, and two interceptions.

Joe Mixon carried 16 times for 65 yards and added seven catches for 43 yards. Tee Higgins scored once. He was targeted nine times, hauling in eight receptions for 128 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since September 2019, a 21-17 win for the Bills.


The Bills are averaging 28.0 points per game for the season, fourth in the NFL, and they are facing a Bengals defense that has surrendered 20.4 PPG (9th). Meanwhile, Cincinnati has scored 26.1 points a game this season, sixth in the league, and Buffalo is allowing 17.5 PPG (2nd).

The Bills rank seventh in the league in passing yards per game (269.1) and seventh in rushing (142.8), while the Bengals are 20th in passing yards allowed per game (236.1) and seventh against the run (106.4).

Cincinnati has been one of the league’s top passing teams, averaging 287.0 passing yards per game (3rd), while ranking 26th in rushing yards (98.2).

The Bills are allowing 231.9 passing yards (14th) and 104.4 rushing yards per game (4th).Cincinnati ranks as one of the biggest red zone threats in the NFL, scoring a touchdown 67% of the time (5th) when the team moves inside the 20.

Buffalo has been tough to beat when defending their own red zone, holding opponents to a conversion percentage of only 44%, best in the league.


Through 15 games, Josh Allen has thrown for 32 touchdowns (13 INT) and 268.6 yards per game to lead Buffalo in passing. In eight away games this season, he has 15 TDs (8 INT) and an average of 261.5 yards passing.

Devin Singletary leads the team in rushing with an average of 52.7 yards a game over 15 games. He has five touchdowns on the ground. Stefon Diggs is the Bills’ leading receiver with 88.3 yards a game and 10 TDs. He is averaging 6.7 receptions on 9.6 targets per game. Joe Burrow has 34 passing touchdowns (12 INT) with 284.0 yards per game through 15 games to lead Cincinnati.

In six home games this season, he has thrown for 12 TDs (5 INT) and an average of 306.2 yards. Joe Mixon has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 60.5 yards a game through 13 games. He also has been valuable as a receiver, accumulating 30.8 yards a game through the air.

He has eight total touchdowns, six rushing and two receiving. Tee Higgins has been the primary target in the Bengals’ passing game. He has seven touchdowns and a 78.6 yard per game average through 13 appearances. Tee Higgins is averaging 7.8 targets per game (5.6 receptions).


Buffalo has won three in a row away from Highmark Stadium this season. Cincinnati is looking for a sixth consecutive win at home this season.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Cincinnati Bengals (+115)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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