Free NFL Picks Today: Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts 12/4/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts 12/4/22
Sun 4th December 2022

The Indianapolis Colts (4-7-1, 2-3-1 Away) head to take on the Dallas Cowboys (8-3, 5-1 Home) at AT&T Stadium on Sunday. The Cowboys are 11-point favorites, and the total is 43.5.

Indianapolis is coming off a 24-17 loss at the hands of the Pittsburgh Steelers at Lucas Oil Stadium on Monday. Matt Ryan threw for 199 yards with a touchdown and an interception.

Jonathan Taylor ran 20 times for 86 yards and a touchdown. Jelani Woods was targeted nine times, catching eight passes for 98 yards. Dallas beat the New York Giants 28-20 at AT&T Stadium last Thursday.

Dak Prescott was 21 of 30 for 261 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions. Ezekiel Elliott carried 16 times for 92 yards and a touchdown. CeeDee Lamb was targeted 11 times, hauling in six receptions for 106 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since December 2018, a 23-0 win for the Colts.


The Colts are averaging 15.8 points per game for the season, 30th in the NFL, and they are facing a Cowboys defense that has surrendered 17.0 PPG (2nd). Meanwhile, Dallas has scored 25.4 points a game this season, seventh in the league, and Indianapolis is allowing 20.3 PPG (11th).

The Colts rank 11th in the league in passing yards per game (245.5) and 25th in rushing (99.7). They can expect a tough test through the air, as the Cowboys are third in the league in passing yards allowed per game (204.3). Against the run, Dallas is 24th (131.9). Dallas is 23rd in the league in passing yards per game (222.2) and seventh in rushing (139.2).

Indianapolis’ defense has proven stout through the air, as the Colts are 4th in the league in passing yards allowed per game (206.9). Against the run, the Colts are 17th (118.3). Indianapolis is averaging 2.8 trips to the red zone a game this season, second lowest in the NFL, finding the end zone 46% of the time (29th).

Dallas ranks as one of the biggest red zone threats in the league, scoring a touchdown 70% of the time (4th) when the team moves inside the 20.


Through 10 games, Matt Ryan has thrown for 11 touchdowns (10 INT) and 264.2 yards per game to lead Indianapolis in passing. In five away games this season, he has three TDs (8 INT) and an average of 252.6 yards passing.

Jonathan Taylor leads the team in rushing with an average of 86.6 yards a game over nine games. He has four touchdowns on the ground. Michael Pittman Jr. is the Colts’ leading receiver with 67.2 yards a game and two TDs.

He is averaging 6.7 receptions on 9.4 targets per game. Dak Prescott has 10 passing touchdowns (6 INT) with 232.2 yards per game through six games to lead Dallas. In four home games this season, he has thrown for five TDs (4 INT) and an average of 213.0 yards.

Tony Pollard has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 69.2 yards a game through 11 games. He has eight total touchdowns, six rushing and two receiving.

CeeDee Lamb has been a key target in the Cowboys’ passing game. He has five touchdowns and a 77.9 yard per game average through 11 appearances. CeeDee Lamb is averaging 9.5 targets per game (5.8 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Dallas Cowboys -10.5 (-110)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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