Free NFL Picks Today: Buffalo Bills vs Pittsburgh Steelers 10/9/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Buffalo Bills vs Pittsburgh Steelers 10/9/22
Sun 9th October 2022

The Buffalo Bills (3-1, 1-0 Home) play host to the Pittsburgh Steelers (1-3, 1-1 Away), who will be out to snap their losing run, at Highmark Stadium on Sunday. The Bills are 14-point favorites, and the total is 46.5. Pittsburgh is coming off a 24-20 loss at the hands of the New York Jets at Acrisure Stadium last Sunday, their third consecutive defeat. Kenny Pickett threw for 120 yards and three interceptions. Najee Harris ran 18 times for 74 yards. George Pickens was targeted eight times, catching six passes for 102 yards. Buffalo beat the Baltimore Ravens 23-20 at M&T Bank Stadium last Sunday. Josh Allen was 19 of 36 for 213 yards, a touchdown, and an interception. He added 70 yards and a touchdown on the ground. Stefon Diggs had four receptions for 62 yards.


The Steelers won the only game between the teams last season, a 23-16 victory in September. Ben Roethlisberger threw one touchdown for Pittsburgh.


The Steelers are averaging 18.5 points per game so far this season, 23rd in the NFL, and they are facing a Bills defense that has surrendered 14.5 PPG (2nd). Meanwhile, Buffalo has scored 28.5 points a game this season, fifth in the league, and Pittsburgh is allowing 22.5 PPG (15th). The Steelers rank as one of the league’s worst teams in passing yards per game (193.3, 29th), while they are 23rd in rushing yards (97.3). They can expect a particularly tough test through the air, as the Bills are No. 1 in the league in passing yards allowed per game (173.3). Against the run, Buffalo is third (83.8).Buffalo has been one of the league’s top passing teams, averaging 306.8 passing yards per game (3rd), while ranking 12th in rushing yards (115.5). The Steelers are allowing 266.0 passing yards (23rd) and 131.5 rushing yards per game (24th).Pittsburgh is averaging 2.2 trips to the red zone a game this season, zeroth lowest in the NFL, finding the end zone 67% of the time (6th).


Through four games, Mitch Trubisky has thrown for two touchdowns (2 INT) and 163.2 yards per game to lead Pittsburgh in passing. In two away games this season, he has one TD and an average of 200.5 yards passing. Najee Harris leads the team in rushing with an average of 50.5 yards a game over four games. He has one touchdown on the ground. Pat Freiermuth is the Steelers’ leading receiver with 55.8 yards a game and one TD. He is averaging 4.5 receptions on 7.5 targets per game. Josh Allen has 10 passing touchdowns (3 INT) with 306.8 yards per game through four games to lead Buffalo. In one previous home game this season, he threw for four TDs and 317 yards. Josh Allen also leads the team in rushing with an average of 45.8 yards per game. He has two touchdowns on the ground. Stefon Diggs has been a workhorse in the Bills’ aerial attack. He has four touchdowns and a 101.5 yard per game average through four appearances. Stefon Diggs is averaging 10.2 targets per game (7.8 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Buffalo Bills (-900)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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