Free NFL Picks Today: Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers 12/4/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers 12/4/22
Sun 4th December 2022

The Los Angeles Chargers (6-5, 4-2 Away) travel to face the Las Vegas Raiders (4-7, 2-2 Home) at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday. The Chargers are 1.5-point favorites, and the total is 50.5. Los Angeles is coming off a close 25-24 win over the Arizona Cardinals at State Farm Stadium last Sunday.

Justin Herbert was 35 of 47 for 274 yards and three touchdowns. He also ran four times for 38 yards. DeAndre Carter was targeted 10 times, catching seven passes for 73 yards and a touchdown.

Las Vegas beat the Seattle Seahawks 40-34 at Lumen Field last Sunday. Derek Carr threw for 295 yards, three touchdowns, and two interceptions. Josh Jacobs carried 33 times for 229 yards and two touchdowns and added six catches for 74 yards. Davante Adams was targeted 11 times, hauling in seven receptions for 74 yards.


The Chargers won the first meeting between the teams this season, a 24-19 victory in September. Justin Herbert threw three touchdowns for Los Angeles. Derek Carr tossed two touchdowns for Las Vegas.


The Chargers are averaging 22.9 points per game for the season, 13th in the NFL, and they are facing a Raiders defense that has surrendered 25.1 PPG (26th). Meanwhile, Las Vegas has scored 24.1 points a game this season, 10th in the league, and Los Angeles is allowing 25.6 PPG (29th).

The Chargers rank as one of the league’s worst teams in rushing yards per game (85.8, 30th), while they are 6th in passing yards (273.1). The Raiders are 26th in passing yards allowed per game (264.9) and 16th against the run (117.6).

Las Vegas is eighth in the league in passing yards per game (255.1) and 13th in rushing (122.8). Los Angeles’ defense has been most vulnerable on the ground, as the Chargers are 28th in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (151.4).

Against the pass, the Chargers are 18th (232.3).Las Vegas ranks as the one of the lowest volume red zone offenses in the NFL, moving inside the 20-yard-line just 2.9 times per game (28th) and scoring a touchdown on 50% of those possessions (25th).


Through 11 games, Justin Herbert has thrown for 19 touchdowns (7 INT) and 273.1 yards per game to lead Los Angeles in passing. In six away games this season, he has 11 TDs (3 INT) and an average of 269.5 yards passing.

Austin Ekeler leads the team in rushing with an average of 50.4 yards a game over 11 games. He’s also contributed to the passing attack with 45.2 receiving yards a game. He has seven touchdowns on the ground. Joshua Palmer is the Chargers’ leading receiver with 55.2 yards a game and three TDs.

He is averaging 5.0 receptions on 7.5 targets per game. Derek Carr has 18 passing touchdowns (7 INT) with 248.2 yards per game through 11 games to lead Las Vegas. In four home games this season, he has thrown for five TDs and an average of 232.2 yards.

Josh Jacobs has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 105.4 yards a game through 11 games. He has nine touchdowns. Davante Adams has been a key target in the Raiders’ passing game. He has 10 touchdowns and a 90.8 yard per game average through 11 appearances. Davante Adams is averaging 11.2 targets per game (6.5 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

LA Chargers (+115)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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