Free NBA Picks Today: Miami Heat vs New York Knicks 3/3/23

Free NBA Picks Today: Miami Heat vs New York Knicks 3/3/23
Fri 3rd March 2023

The Miami Heat (33-30, 19-11 Home) and their stifling defense play host to the New York Knicks (37-27, 18-12 Away) and their great offense on Friday. New York dominated the Brooklyn Nets 142-118 at Madison Square Garden on Wednesday, their seventh win in a row.

With 39 points and six assists, Jalen Brunson was the standout player. The Knicks are the fifth seed in the Eastern Conference. Miami lost in blowout fashion on Wednesday at FTX Arena, falling to the Philadelphia 76ers 119-96.

Bam Adebayo had 20 points in defeat, carrying the team. The Heat are seventh in the Eastern Conference. The teams are meeting for the last time this season. New York will be aiming for a season sweep against Miami after winning the only previous game 106-104 at Madison Square Garden on February 2.

RJ Barrett led the Knicks with 30 points and eight rebounds. Adebayo had 32 points, nine rebounds, and three assists in the losing effort. The Knicks have been led this season by Julius Randle and Brunson, who are averaging 25.0 and 23.8 points per game, respectively. Randle also has grabbed 10.5 rebounds per game, seventh-most in the NBA, while Brunson has dished 6.2 assists per game.

Jimmy Butler (21.8 ppg), Adebayo (21.2), and Tyler Herro (20.3) have supplied much of the Heat’s offense. Adebayo also has posted 9.8 rebounds per game, while Butler has tallied 5.0 assists per game.

The Heat are the league’s fourth-best team in defensive efficiency, while the Knicks rank fifth in offensive efficiency. The Heat have had the advantage in the last 10 matchups between the teams at FTX Arena, winning six.

In the last 10 games, New York is 9-1 with an average margin of +11.6 (118.4-106.8). Miami has gone 4-6 over the last 10, allowing 111.4 points per game on average while scoring only 104.7 (-6.7 margin).


(Last Five | Season Average | Differential)
Points + Rebounds + Assists:
Mitchell Robinson: 23.3 | 17.7 | +5.6
Points per game:
Immanuel Quickley: 16.2 | 12.9 | +3.3
Rebounds per game:
Mitchell Robinson: 12.0 | 9.2 | +2.8
Julius Randle: 7.0 | 10.5 | -3.5


(Last Five | Season Average | Differential)
Points + Rebounds + Assists:
Victor Oladipo: 10.0 | 17.4 | -7.4
Points per game:
Victor Oladipo: 5.5 | 10.4 | -4.9
Rebounds per game:
Jimmy Butler: 4.4 | 5.9 | -1.5

SportsTips’ NBA Pick:

NY Knicks (-155)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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