Free MLB Picks Today: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles 9/17/22

Free MLB Picks Today: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles 9/17/22
Sat 17th September 2022

Hot-hitting Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be looking to extend his 10-game hitting streak as the Toronto Blue Jays (+125) host the Baltimore Orioles (-145) at Rogers Centre on Saturday. The early total was set at 8.5. The Blue Jays (82-63) took Friday’s series opener 6-3, their seventh head-to-head victory in 14 games this season. Yusei Kikuchi threw two innings out of the bullpen to get the win. Matt Chapman went 3 for 4 with two home runs, three runs, and three RBIs in the win. Gunnar Henderson was 2 for 4 with a solo home run for the Orioles (75-68), stretching his on-base streak to 10 games.

ON THE MOUND

Kyle Bradish (3-6, 5.30 ERA) is set to take the mound for Baltimore. The righty allowed one run over seven innings in his last start, a 1-0 home defeat against the Red Sox on Sunday. He took the loss, yielding two hits while striking out three and walking two. Over four previous starts against the Blue Jays this season, Bradish has allowed 14 earned runs over 17.1 innings (0-1, 7.27). He has struck out 15 and walked nine. RHP Jose Berrios (10-5, 5.07 ERA) gets the start for Toronto. He has made two appearances against the Orioles this season, both as the starter, giving up six runs (5 ER) over 13 innings (1-0, 3.46) with 10 strikeouts and two walks. In his last start on Monday, Berrios took a no-decision at home against the Rays. He threw 6.1 innings and gave up two runs (1 ER) on six hits, striking out four and walking one in the 3-2 win.

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, Baltimore has averaged 3.4 runs a game, a small drop compared to their season average of 4.2. Against righties like Berrios this season, the O’s have a .699 OPS. Cedric Mullins is the team’s best hitter against right-handers with a .808 OPS in 374 at-bats. Toronto is averaging only 4.0 runs per game in the last five, down slightly from 4.7 for the season. The Jays have a .757 OPS against right-handers in 2022, second highest in MLB. With a .388 OBP over 470 at-bats, Alejandro Kirk has their highest on-base percentage against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

Baltimore is 34-38 in road games in 2022, scoring 4.0 runs per game while allowing 4.2 runs. Toronto has gone 42-31 at their home park this season, averaging 4.3 runs per game while surrendering 4.5. In the last 10 games between the AL East rivals at Rogers Centre, Toronto is 6-4 with an average scoreline of 6.4-4.3.

The Orioles are fourth in the AL East, 11 games behind the division-leading Yankees. They are fourth in the Wild Card race, four games out of third. The Blue Jays are second in the AL East, five games behind the Yankees. They currently occupy one of the Wild Card spots, sitting first.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Toronto Blue Jays (-165)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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