Free MLB Picks Today: Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians 4/30/23

Free MLB Picks Today: Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians 4/30/23
Sun 30th April 2023

The Cleveland Guardians (13-14) are on the road to face the Boston Red Sox (14-14) at Fenway Park on Sunday with the three-game series in the balance. The Red Sox evened up the series 1-1 after winning 8-7 in 10 innings on Saturday. Reliever Brennan Bernardino was credited with the win after throwing one inning.

Christian Arroyo went 3 for 4 with two runs and two RBIs in the win. Jose Ramirez was 3 for 4 with one run and one RBI for the Guardians. Myles Straw added two runs on two hits.

ON THE MOUND

Logan Allen (1-0, 1.50 ERA) is slated to start for Cleveland. The LHP allowed one run over six innings in his last start, a 7-4 road win over the Marlins on April 23.

He earned the win, yielding five hits while striking out eight and walking one. For Boston, LHP Chris Sale (1-2, 8.22 ERA) is on the mound. It’s his first appearance of the season against the Guardians.

In his last start on Monday, Sale took the loss on the road against the Orioles. He threw five innings and gave up five runs on nine hits, walking one, in the 5-4 defeat.

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, Cleveland has averaged 3.4 runs a game, a small drop compared to their season average of 4.0. Against lefties like Sale this season, the Guardians have a .664 OPS. Josh Bell is the team’s most productive hitter against left-handers with a 1.015 OPS in 25 at-bats.

Boston is averaging only 4.8 runs per game in the last five, down slightly from 5.6 for the season. The Sox have a .742 OPS against left-handers in 2023. With a .829 OPS over 40 at-bats, Rafael Devers has been their best hitter against left-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

Cleveland is 9-6 in away games in 2023, scoring 4.8 runs per game while allowing 4.1 runs. Boston has gone 8-7 in front of their home fans this season, averaging 5.7 runs per game while surrendering 5.7. The teams have split their last 10 meetings head-to-head at Fenway Park, though Cleveland has the scoring advantage with an average final margin of 6.3-5.2.

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Guardians are second in the AL Central, two games behind the division-leading Twins. The Red Sox are fifth in the AL East, nine games behind the Rays.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Cleveland Guardians (+105)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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