Free MLB Picks Today: New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles 7/4/23

Free MLB Picks Today: New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles 7/4/23
Tue 4th July 2023

Anthony Rizzo will be looking to extend his 18-game on-base streak as the New York Yankees (47-38) host the Baltimore Orioles (49-34) at Yankee Stadium on Tuesday.

The Yankees took Monday’s series opener 6-3, their fourth head-to-head victory in seven games this season. Tommy Kahnle threw one scoreless inning out of the bullpen to get the win, and Clay Holmes picked up his 10th save with a scoreless ninth.

Kyle Higashioka went 2 for 2 with a solo home run and a double in the win. Harrison Bader added a home run and three RBIs. Adley Rutschman was 3 for 5 with a double, one run, and one RBI for the Orioles.

ON THE MOUND

Kyle Gibson (8-5, 4.66 ERA) is in line for the start for Baltimore. The right-hander is tied for fourth in the AL in wins. Gibson allowed six runs over 4.2 innings in his last start, an 11-7 road defeat against the Reds on Wednesday.

He scattered nine hits while striking out five and walking one in the no-decision. Gibson has made one previous start against the Yankees this season, a 3-1 road victory on May 25.

He allowed two hits over seven scoreless innings, striking out three and walking four. For New York, righty Clarke Schmidt (3-6, 4.37 ERA) will toe the rubber.

He has made two appearances against the Orioles this season, both as the starter, giving up five runs over 8.1 innings (0-1, 5.40) with seven strikeouts and five walks.

In his last start on Thursday, Schmidt got the win on the road against the Athletics. He threw 5.1 innings and gave up three runs on five hits, striking out three and walking three in the 10-4 triumph.

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, Baltimore has averaged only 2.6 runs a game, down from their season average of 4.7, while performing worse across the board (.204/.257/.275). Against right-handed pitchers like Schmidt this season, the O’s have a .731 OPS.

Gunnar Henderson is the team’s most productive hitter against right-handers with a .860 OPS in 186 at-bats. New York is averaging 5.4 runs per game in the last five, up slightly from 4.4 for the season.

The Yanks have a .704 OPS against right-handers in 2023. With a .429 OBP over 230 at-bats, Aaron Judge has their highest on-base percentage against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

Baltimore is 23-16 in away games in 2023, scoring 5.2 runs per game while allowing 4.7 runs. New York has won three in a row in front of their home fans.

The Yanks are 26-19 at home this season, averaging 4.2 runs per game while surrendering 3.8. In the last 10 meetings at Yankee Stadium, each club has won five, though New York has the scoring advantage with an average final margin of 4.2-3.7.

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Orioles are second in the AL East, six games behind the division-leading Rays. The Yankees are third in the AL East, nine games behind the Rays.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Baltimore Orioles (+100)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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