Bryce Harper will be looking to extend his 16-game on-base streak as the Philadelphia Phillies (+175) host the San Diego Padres (-210) at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday in Game 4 of the National League Championship Series with the home team looking to build on their lead. The early total was set at 8.5 runs.
The Phillies lead the series 2-1 after winning 4-2 on Friday, their sixth head-to-head victory in 10 games this season. Starter Ranger Suarez went five innings for the win, allowing two runs (1 ER) on two hits, and Seranthony Dominguez threw two scoreless innings to pick up his 10th save. Kyle Schwarber went 2 for 4 with a solo home run in the win. Bryson Stott added two doubles and one run. Jake Cronenworth was 2 for 4 with one RBI for the Padres.
ON THE MOUND
Mike Clevinger (7-7, 4.33 ERA) is set to get the start for San Diego. The righty allowed five runs (four earned) over 2.2 innings in his last start, a 5-3 road defeat against the Dodgers on October 11. He was charged with the loss, scattering six hits while striking out three and walking two. Clevinger has made one previous start against the Phillies this season, a 3-0 road victory on May 17. He allowed one hit over five scoreless innings, striking out five.
For Philadelphia, LHP Bailey Falter (6-4, 3.86 ERA) will toe the rubber. It’s his first appearance of the season against the Padres. Falter made two appearances against the Padres in 2021, both out of the bullpen, striking out three and walking none over 1.2 innings (0-0, 16.20).In his last start on October 5, Falter took a no-decision on the road against the Astros. He threw one scoreless inning and gave up two hits in the 3-2 defeat.
AT THE PLATE
Over the last five games, San Diego has averaged 3.4 runs a game, a small drop compared to their season average of 4.4. Against left-handed pitchers like Falter this season, the Padres have a .705 OPS. Ha-Seong Kim is the team’s biggest on-base threat against left-handers with a .369 OBP in 147 at-bats.
Philadelphia is averaging 5.6 runs per game in the last five, up slightly from 4.6 for the season. The Phils have a .727 OPS against righties in 2022. With a .900 OPS over 380 at-bats, Schwarber has been their best hitter against right-handers.
HOME AND AWAY
San Diego is 48-39 in away games in 2022, scoring 4.9 runs per game while allowing 4.4 runs. Philadelphia has gone 50-34 at Citizens Bank Park this season, averaging 5.0 runs per game while surrendering 4.1. In the last 10 games at Citizens Bank Park between the teams, each club has won five, though San Diego has the scoring advantage with an average final margin of 3.5-2.9.
The Padres finished second in the NL West with a record of 89-73. The Phillies were third in the NL East (87-75).
SportsTips’ MLB Pick:
Philadelphia Phillies (-110)
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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.