Free MLB Picks Today: Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies 9/13/22

The Philadelphia Phillies (78-62) take one of the top lineups in the league on the road to face the Miami Marlins (58-83) and Sandy Alcantara, one of this season’s toughest pitchers, at loanDepot park on Tuesday for the opener of a three-game series. The Phillies are kicking off a six-game road trip after wrapping up a productive six-game homestand (5-1). They are coming off a three-game sweep of the Nationals, taking the finale 7-5 on Sunday at Citizens Bank Park. Rhys Hoskins was 2 for 3 with a home run, two runs, and four RBIs. J.T. Realmuto added one run on two hits. The Marlins are in the midst of an eight-game homestand. They split their last series against the Rangers, splitting both games of a series-ending doubleheader at loanDepot park on Monday. They rallied after a 3-2 loss in the opener with a 10-6 win in the finale. Charles Leblanc went 2 for 4 with two doubles, one run, and two RBIs in the second leg.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The Phillies have won 10 of 16 in the season series between the NL East rivals, although they dropped a close one 6-5 in their last meeting on Thursday at Citizens Bank Park. Dylan Floro threw two scoreless innings of relief to get the win.

ON THE MOUND

Bailey Falter (4-3, 4.02 ERA) is in line to get the start for Philadelphia. The left-hander gets the Marlins for the second straight start. On Wednesday, he allowed two runs over 5.1 innings, a 4-3 road win. He got the win, yielding seven hits while striking out three. Over two previous appearances against the Marlins this season, Falter has allowed three earned runs over 7.1 innings (1-0, 3.68). He has struck out three and walked one. Right-hander Alcantara (12-7, 2.36 ERA) gets the ball for Miami. He has made five appearances against the Phillies this season, all starts, giving up 15 runs (13 ER) over 35.2 innings (1-2, 3.28) with 33 strikeouts and seven walks. In his last start on Thursday, Alcantara took a no-decision on the road against the Phillies. He threw six innings and gave up five runs (3 ER) on eight hits, striking out seven, in the 6-5 win. The right-hander ranks second in the NL in ERA.

AT THE PLATE

The Philadelphia offense is averaging 4.7 runs per game for the season, fifth best in MLB, with a slash line of .256/.318/.426. Hoskins leads the team in OPS at .804. The first baseman is slashing .249/.339/.465 with 28 home runs, 71 RBIs, and 75 runs over 138 games. Over the last five games, however, Philadelphia has averaged 5.8 runs a game while slashing better across the board (.301/.352/.589). Against right-handed pitchers like Alcantara this season, the Phils have a .729 OPS. Kyle Schwarber is the team’s best performer against right-handers with a .840 OPS in 318 at-bats. Miami is slashing .229/.294/.361 for the season and averaging 3.6 runs per game, fourth lowest in the league. Miguel Rojas leads the team with a .607 OPS. The shortstop has six home runs, 32 RBIs, and 33 runs scored with a slash line of .233/.281/.326. Miami is averaging 4.8 runs per game in the last five with an improved slash line (.244/.303/.396). The Fish have a .592 OPS against lefties in 2022, lowest in the league. With a .533 OPS over 112 at-bats, Rojas also has been their best hitter against left-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

Philadelphia is on a three-game losing streak in road games, bringing their record to 34-31 in 2022. The Phils have scored 4.6 runs per game away from home, while allowing 4.4 runs. Miami has gone 28-41 in front of their home fans this season, averaging 3.6 runs per game while surrendering 4.4. In the last 10 meetings at loanDepot park, each club has won five, though Philadelphia has the scoring advantage with an average final margin of 4.3-3.4.

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Phillies are third in the NL East, 10 games behind the division-leading Mets. They currently occupy one of the Wild Card spots, sitting second. The Marlins are fourth in the NL East, 30 games behind the Mets.