Free MLB Picks Today: Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers 5/21/23

Free MLB Picks Today: Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers 5/21/23
Sun 21st May 2023

A pair of hot hitters are set to face off when the Milwaukee Brewers (24-21) match up against the Tampa Bay Rays (34-13) at Tropicana Field on Sunday, as Yandy Diaz and his 13-game hitting streak host Owen Miller and his 12-game streak with the home team eyeing a sweep of the three-game Interleague series.

The Rays lead the series 2-0 after winning 8-4 on Saturday. Zach Eflin went seven innings for the win, giving up three runs on four hits and striking out eight, and Jason Adam threw 0.2 scoreless innings to earn his sixth save.

Diaz went 3 for 4 with a home run and three RBIs in the win. Christian Bethancourt added a solo home run. Brian Anderson was 1 for 3 with a home run and two RBIs for the Brewers. Brice Turang added a double and one run.

ON THE MOUND

Freddy Peralta (4-3, 3.32 ERA) is slated to start for Milwaukee. The right-hander allowed six runs over 5.1 innings in his last start, an 18-1 road defeat against the Cardinals on Monday.

He was charged with the loss, giving up six hits while striking out four and walking five. Peralta is making his first appearance against the Rays this season.

Peralta made one start against the Rays in 2022, a 5-3 home victory on August 9. He surrendered two runs on two hits over five innings, striking out four.

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, Milwaukee has averaged only 1.6 runs a game, down from their season average of 4.2, while slashing worse across the board (.217/.274/.325).

Tampa Bay is averaging only 5.2 runs per game in the last five, down slightly from 6.1 for the season. The Rays have ann .832 OPS against righties in 2023, highest in the league. With a 1.062 OPS over 113 at-bats, Diaz has been their best hitter against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

Milwaukee is on a three-game losing streak on the road, bringing their record to 11-13 in 2023. The Brew Crew have scored 3.7 runs per game away from home, while allowing 4.6 runs. Tampa Bay has won three in a row at Tropicana Field.

The Rays are 21-3 at home this season, averaging 5.9 runs per game while surrendering 2.6. The teams have split their last 10 games head-to-head at Tropicana Field, though Milwaukee has the scoring advantage with an average final margin of 2.7-2.4.

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Brewers lead the NL Central by zero games over the Pirates. The Rays lead the AL East by three games over the Orioles.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

TB Rays (-140)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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