Brandon Nimmo will be looking to extend his 17-game on-base streak as the New York Mets (+140) host the San Diego Padres (-165) at Citi Field on Saturday in Game 2 with the visitors looking to sweep their National League Wild Card series. Look out for a low-scoring affair with the early total at 6 runs with the under a -115 favorite. The Padres (90-73) took Friday’s series opener 7-1, their fifth head-to-head victory in seven games this season. Starter Yu Darvish got the win, giving up one run on six hits over seven innings. Jurickson Profar was 2 for 3 with a home run, two runs, and three RBIs in the win. Ha-Seong Kim added a double and one run. Eduardo Escobar went 2 for 3 with a solo home run and a double for the Mets (101-62).
ON THE MOUND
Blake Snell (8-10, 3.38 ERA) is in line to take the mound for San Diego. The southpaw allowed one run over six innings in his last start, a 2-1 road defeat against the White Sox on Sunday. He was charged with the loss, yielding three hits while striking out six and walking one. Over two previous starts against the Mets this season, Snell has allowed four earned runs over nine innings (1-1, 4.00). He has struck out nine and walked five. Righty Jacob deGrom (5-4, 3.08 ERA) is on the mound for New York. It’s his first appearance of the season against the Padres. deGrom made two appearances against the Padres in 2021, both starts, striking out 21 and walking one over 13 innings (2-0, 0.00).In his last start on September 30, deGrom took the loss on the road against the Braves. He threw six innings and gave up three runs on five hits, striking out 11, in the 5-2 defeat.
AT THE PLATE
Over the last five games, San Diego has averaged 4.4 runs a game, equal to their season average. Against right-handed pitchers like deGrom this season, the Padres have a .697 OPS. Manny Machado is the team’s biggest slugger against right-handers with a .538 slugging percentage in 329 at-bats. New York is averaging 5.0 runs per game in the last five, up slightly from 4.7 for the season. The Mets have a .717 OPS against left-handers in 2022. With a .877 OPS over 139 at-bats, Starling Marte has been their best hitter against left-handers.
HOME AND AWAY
San Diego is on a three-game winning streak away from Petco Park, bringing their record to 46-36 in 2022. The Padres have scored 5.0 runs per game away from home, while allowing 4.4 runs. New York has gone 54-28 in front of their home fans this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game while surrendering 3.3. The teams have split their last 10 games head-to-head at Citi Field, though San Diego has the scoring advantage with an average final margin of 3.7-3.2.
STANDINGS UPDATE
The Mets won the NL East. The Padres finished second in the NL West.
SportsTips’ MLB Pick:
NY Mets (-190)
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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.
