Free NFL Picks Today: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs 10/2/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs 10/2/22
Sun 2nd October 2022

The Kansas City Chiefs (2-1, 1-1 Away) and their great offense are on the road to face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1, 0-1 Home) and their tremendous defense at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday. The Chiefs are one-point favorites, and the total is 45. Kansas City is coming off a narrow 20-17 loss at the hands of the Indianapolis Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium last Sunday. Patrick Mahomes was 20 of 35 for 262 yards with a touchdown and an interception. He also ran four times for 26 yards. JuJu Smith-Schuster was targeted eight times, catching five passes for 89 yards. Tampa Bay lost 14-12 to the Green Bay Packers at Raymond James Stadium last Sunday. Tom Brady threw for 271 yards and a touchdown. Leonard Fournette carried 12 times for 35 yards and added five catches for 35 yards. Russell Gage scored once. He was targeted 13 times, hauling in 12 receptions for 87 yards.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since November 2020, a 27-24 win for the Chiefs. Mahomes threw three touchdowns for Kansas City, as Tyreek Hill scored three times. Brady tossed three touchdowns for Tampa Bay.

TALE OF THE TAPE

The Chiefs are averaging 29.3 points per game so far this season, fourth in the NFL, and they are facing a Buccaneers defense that has surrendered 9.0 PPG (1st). Meanwhile, Tampa Bay has scored 17.0 points a game this season, 22nd in the league, and Kansas City is allowing 21.7 PPG (16th). The Chiefs rank eighth in the league in passing yards per game (285.7) and 21st in rushing (93.0). They will be facing a tough test on the ground, as the Buccaneers are fifth in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (79.3). Against the pass, Tampa Bay is 13th (229.7). Tampa Bay is 22nd in the league in passing yards per game (224.3) and 25th in rushing (86.0), while the Chiefs are allowing 253.7 passing yards (17th) and 86.7 rushing yards per game (9th).Tampa Bay ranks as one of the least productive red zone offenses in the NFL, moving inside the 20-yard-line only 1.7 times per game (33rd) and scoring a touchdown on just 40% of those possessions (28th).

TOP PERFORMERS

Through three games, Mahomes has thrown for eight touchdowns (1 INT) and 285.7 yards per game to lead Kansas City in passing. In two away games this season, he has six TDs (1 INT) and an average of 311.0 yards passing. Clyde Edwards-Helaire leads the team in rushing with an average of 38.7 yards a game over three games. He’s also contributed to the passing game with 38.3 receiving yards a game. He has one touchdown on the ground. Travis Kelce is the Chiefs’ leading receiver with 76.7 yards a game and two TDs. He is averaging 5.7 receptions on 8.0 targets per game. Brady has three passing touchdowns (1 INT) with 224.3 yards per game through three games to lead Tampa Bay. In one prior home game this season, he threw for one TD and 271 yards. Fournette has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 75.7 yards a game through three games. Mike Evans has been a key target in the Buccaneers’ passing game. He has one touchdown and a 66.0 yard per game average through two appearances.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

KC Chiefs (-110)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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