Free NFL Picks Today: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens 10/27/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens 10/27/22
Thu 27th October 2022

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-4, 1-2 Home) welcome the Baltimore Ravens (4-3, 2-1 Away) at Raymond James Stadium on Thursday. The Ravens are 1.5-point favorites, and the total is 45.

Baltimore is coming off a narrow 23-20 win over the Cleveland Browns at M&T Bank Stadium on Sunday. Lamar Jackson was 9 of 16 for 120 yards. Gus Edwards ran 16 times for 66 yards and two touchdowns. Devin Duvernay caught two passes for 42 yards.

Tampa Bay lost 21-3 to the Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium on Sunday. Tom Brady threw for 290 yards. Rachaad White carried six times for 24 yards. Mike Evans was targeted 15 times, hauling in nine receptions for 96 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since December 2018, a 20-12 win for the Ravens.


The Ravens are averaging 25.9 points per game for the season, sixth in the NFL, and they are facing a Buccaneers defense that has surrendered 17.7 PPG (5th).

Meanwhile, Tampa Bay has scored 17.7 points a game this season, 26th in the league, and Baltimore is allowing 23.0 PPG (21st).

The Ravens rank as one of the league’s top teams in rushing yards per game (156.3, 5th), while they are 26th in passing yards (199.6).

The Buccaneers are sixth in passing yards allowed per game (210.4) and 16th against the run (118.3).

Tampa Bay has been the league’s least successful rushing team, averaging 64.4 yards per game, while ranking seventh in passing yards (277.4). The Ravens are allowing 280.0 passing yards (27th) and 105.1 rushing yards per game (10th).

Tampa Bay ranks as the one of the lowest volume red zone offenses in the NFL, advancing inside the 20-yard-line just 2.7 times per game (31st) and scoring a touchdown on 47% of those possessions (27th).


Through seven games, Lamar Jackson has thrown for 13 touchdowns (6 INT) and 199.6 yards per game to lead Baltimore in passing. In three away games this season, he has eight TDs (3 INT) and an average of 213.7 yards passing. Lamar Jackson also leads the team in rushing with an average of 72.9 yards per game.

He has two touchdowns on the ground. Mark Andrews is the Ravens’ leading receiver with 65.0 yards a game and five TDs. He is averaging 5.6 receptions on 8.4 targets per game.Tom Brady has eight passing touchdowns (1 INT) with 277.4 yards per game through seven games to lead Tampa Bay. In three home games this season, he has thrown for five TDs and an average of 335.7 yards.

Leonard Fournette has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 51.7 yards a game through seven games. He also has been valuable as a receiver, posting 34.1 yards a game through the air. He has four total touchdowns, one rushing and three receiving. Mike Evans has been a key target in the Buccaneers’ passing game. He has three touchdowns and a 75.7 yard per game average through six appearances. Mike Evans is averaging 8.0 targets per game (5.5 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

TB Bucs (-130)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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