Free NFL Picks Today: Los Angeles Rams vs Carolina Panthers 10/16/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Los Angeles Rams vs Carolina Panthers 10/16/22
Sun 16th October 2022

The Los Angeles Rams (2-3, 1-2 Home) host the Carolina Panthers (1-4, 0-1 Away) at SoFi Stadium on Sunday. The Rams are 10-point favorites, and the total is 41.5. Carolina is coming off a deflating 37-15 loss to the San Francisco 49ers at Bank of America Stadium last Sunday. Baker Mayfield threw for 215 yards and an interception. Christian McCaffrey ran 14 times for 54 yards and a touchdown. He added seven receptions for 50 yards. Shi Smith caught four passes for 69 yards. Los Angeles lost 22-10 to the Dallas Cowboys at SoFi Stadium last Sunday. Matthew Stafford was 28 of 42 for 320 yards, a touchdown, and an interception. Cam Akers carried 13 times for 33 yards. Cooper Kupp scored once. He was targeted 10 times, hauling in seven receptions for 125 yards.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since September 2019, a 30-27 win for the Rams.

TALE OF THE TAPE

The Panthers are averaging 18.6 points per game for the season, 24th in the NFL, and they are facing a Rams defense that has surrendered 23.2 PPG (17th). Meanwhile, Los Angeles has scored 16.0 points a game this season, 28th in the league, and Carolina is allowing 24.4 PPG (21st).The Panthers rank as one of the league’s worst teams in rushing yards per game (89.8, 28th), while they are 27th in passing yards (204.4). The Rams are 15th in passing yards allowed per game (229.6) and 11th against the run (106.4).Los Angeles has been the league’s least successful rushing team, averaging 62.4 yards per game, while ranking 12th in passing yards (267.0). The Panthers are allowing 227.2 passing yards (13th) and 137.8 rushing yards per game (27th).Carolina is averaging 2.4 trips to the red zone a game this season, zeroth lowest in the NFL, finding the end zone 42% of the time (27th). The Panthers may struggle to improve on those numbers against one of the league’s best red zone defenses, as the Rams have allowed opponents to score on only 36% of red zone trips (4th). Los Angeles ranks as one of the weakest red zone threats in the league, scoring a touchdown on just 40% (28th) of the team’s possessions inside the 20.

TOP PERFORMERS

Through five games, Baker Mayfield has thrown for four touchdowns (4 INT) and 192.4 yards per game to lead Carolina in passing. In one prior away game this season, he had one TD and 145 yards passing. Christian McCaffrey leads the team in rushing with an average of 64.8 yards a game over five games. He’s also contributed to the aerial attack with 37.6 receiving yards a game. He has two touchdowns on the ground. Robbie Anderson is the Panthers’ leading receiver with 41.2 yards a game and one TD. Matthew Stafford has five passing touchdowns (7 INT) with 264.6 yards per game through five games to lead Los Angeles. In three home games this season, he has thrown for five TDs (6 INT) and an average of 273.3 yards. Cam Akers has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 30.2 yards a game through five games. He has one touchdown. Cooper Kupp has been a workhorse in the Rams’ passing game. He has four touchdowns and a 105.4 yard per game average through five appearances. Cooper Kupp is averaging 12.8 targets per game (9.8 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

LA Rams (-450)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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