Free NFL Picks Today: San Francisco 49ers vs Washington Commanders 12/24/22

Free NFL Picks Today: San Francisco 49ers vs Washington Commanders 12/24/22
Sat 24th December 2022

The San Francisco 49ers (10-4, 6-1 Home) will be out to build on their winning streak when they host the Washington Commanders (7-6-1, 4-2-1 Away) at Levi’s Stadium on Saturday. The 49ers are seven-point favorites, and the total is 38.

Washington is coming off a 20-12 loss at the hands of the New York Giants at FedEx Field on Sunday. Taylor Heinicke was 17 of 29 for 249 yards and a touchdown. Brian Robinson Jr. ran 12 times for 89 yards. Jahan Dotson caught four passes for 105 yards and a touchdown.

San Francisco won for the seventh straight game last Thursday, beating the Seattle Seahawks 21-13 at Lumen Field. Brock Purdy threw for 217 yards and two touchdowns.

Christian McCaffrey carried 26 times for 108 yards and a touchdown and added six catches for 30 yards. George Kittle added two touchdowns of his own. He caught four receptions for 93 yards.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since December 2020, a 23-15 win for the Commanders.

TALE OF THE TAPE

The Commanders are averaging 18.9 points per game for the season, 25th in the NFL, and they are facing a 49ers defense that has surrendered 15.0 PPG (1st). Meanwhile, San Francisco has scored 24.1 points a game this season, 10th in the league, and Washington is allowing 19.7 PPG (9th).

The Commanders rank 20th in the league in passing yards per game (227.3) and 11th in rushing (126.9). They can expect a tough test on the ground, as the 49ers are No. 1 in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (74.7).

Against the pass, San Francisco is 15th (230.9).San Francisco is 16th in the league in passing yards per game (239.5) and ninth in rushing (133.4), while the Commanders are allowing 214.3 passing yards (6th) and 111.6 rushing yards per game (12th).

Washington is averaging an NFL-worst 2.6 trips to the red zone a game this season, finding the end zone 51% of the time (23rd).

TOP PERFORMERS

Through eight games, Taylor Heinicke has thrown for 10 touchdowns (5 INT) and 211.6 yards per game to lead Washington in passing. In four away games this season, he has three TDs (2 INT) and an average of 239.0 yards passing.

Brian Robinson Jr. leads the team in rushing with an average of 65.2 yards a game over 10 games. He has two touchdowns on the ground. Terry McLaurin is the Commanders’ leading receiver with 72.5 yards a game and three TDs.

He is averaging 4.9 receptions on 7.4 targets per game. Jimmy Garoppolo has 16 passing touchdowns (4 INT) with 221.5 yards per game through 11 games to lead San Francisco. In six home games this season, he has thrown for five TDs (1 INT) and an average of 202.3 yards.

Christian McCaffrey has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 66.2 yards a game through 14 games. He also has been valuable as a receiver, accumulating 44.5 yards a game through the air.

He has 10 total touchdowns, six rushing and four receiving. Brandon Aiyuk has been the primary target in the 49ers’ passing game. He has seven touchdowns and a 55.3 yard per game average through 14 appearances.

HOME AND AWAY

San Francisco is seeking a fifth straight home win this season.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

San Francisco 49ers -6.5 (-110)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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