Free NFL Picks Today: Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots 12/18/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots 12/18/22
Sun 18th December 2022

The New England Patriots (7-6, 4-3 Away) head to face the Las Vegas Raiders (5-8, 3-2 Home) at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday. The Raiders are one-point favorites, and the total is 44.5. New England is coming off an impressive 27-13 win over the Arizona Cardinals at State Farm Stadium on Monday.

Mac Jones was 24 of 35 for 235 yards and an interception. Pierre Strong Jr. ran five times for 70 yards and a touchdown. Hunter Henry caught three passes for 70 yards. Las Vegas lost 17-16 to the Los Angeles Rams at SoFi Stadium last Thursday.

Derek Carr threw for 137 yards and two interceptions. Josh Jacobs carried 27 times for 99 yards and a touchdown. Davante Adams had three receptions for 71 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since September 2020, a 36-20 win for the Patriots. Cam Newton tossed one touchdown for New England, as Rex Burkhead scored once. Derek Carr tossed two touchdowns for Las Vegas.


The Patriots are averaging 21.2 points per game for the season, 18th in the NFL, and they are facing a Raiders defense that has surrendered 24.1 PPG (24th). Meanwhile, Las Vegas has scored 23.7 points a game this season, 11th in the league, and New England is allowing 18.4 PPG (5th).

The Patriots rank 20th in the league in passing yards per game (232.0) and 23rd in rushing (104.8). The best opportunities are likely to come through the air, as the Raiders are 28th in the league in passing yards allowed per game (267.6).

Against the run, Las Vegas is 10th (110.5).Las Vegas is 12th in the league in passing yards per game (245.6) and 10th in rushing (128.5), while the Patriots are allowing 223.4 passing yards (11th) and 111.3 rushing yards per game (12th).

New England is averaging 2.8 trips to the red zone a game this season (29th in the NFL), finding the end zone a league-worst 39% of the time.

The Patriots will be looking to improve on those numbers against one of the league’s weakest red zone defenses, as the Raiders have allowed opponents to score on 65% of red zone trips (29th).

Las Vegas ranks as one of the least productive red zone offenses in the league, advancing inside the 20-yard-line only 2.8 times per game (29th) and scoring a touchdown on just 46% of those possessions (29th).


Through 10 games, Mac Jones has thrown for seven touchdowns (8 INT) and 219.8 yards per game to lead New England in passing. In five away games this season, he has five TDs (4 INT) and an average of 255.2 yards passing.

Rhamondre Stevenson leads the team in rushing with an average of 57.1 yards a game over 13 games. He has four touchdowns on the ground. Jakobi Meyers is the Patriots’ leading receiver with 59.3 yards a game and three TDs.

Derek Carr has 20 passing touchdowns (10 INT) with 239.8 yards per game through 13 games to lead Las Vegas. In five home games this season, he has thrown for seven TDs (1 INT) and an average of 235.8 yards.

Josh Jacobs has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 107.8 yards a game through 13 games. He has 11 touchdowns.

Davante Adams has been a key target in the Raiders’ aerial attack. He has 12 touchdowns and a 95.9 yard per game average through 13 appearances. Davante Adams is averaging 10.9 targets per game (6.3 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

LV Raiders (-130)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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