Free NFL Picks Today: Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans 10/2/22

The Tennessee Titans (1-2, 0-1 Away) are on the road to face the Indianapolis Colts (1-1-1, 1-0-0 Home) at Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday. The Colts are 3.5-point favorites, and the total is 43. Tennessee is coming off a tight 24-22 win over the Las Vegas Raiders at Nissan Stadium last Sunday. Ryan Tannehill was 19 of 27 for 264 yards with a touchdown and an interception. Derrick Henry ran 20 times for 85 yards and a touchdown. He added five receptions for 58 yards. Robert Woods was targeted nine times, catching four passes for 85 yards. Indianapolis beat the Kansas City Chiefs 20-17 at Lucas Oil Stadium last Sunday. Matt Ryan threw for 222 yards and two touchdowns. Jonathan Taylor carried 21 times for 71 yards. Michael Pittman Jr. was targeted nine times, hauling in eight receptions for 72 yards.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The Titans won both games between the teams last season, including a 34-31 overtime win in their last meeting in October, their third straight win against Indianapolis. Tannehill threw three touchdowns for Tennessee. Carson Wentz tossed three touchdowns for Indianapolis, as Pittman Jr. found the end zone twice.

TALE OF THE TAPE

The Titans are averaging 17.0 points per game so far this season, 22nd in the NFL, and they are facing a Colts defense that has surrendered 20.3 PPG (15th). Meanwhile, Indianapolis has scored 13.3 points a game this season, the worst in the league, and Tennessee is allowing 28.0 PPG (29th). The Titans rank 24th in the league in passing yards per game (217.7) and 21st in rushing (94.0). They will face a tough test on the ground, as the Colts are third in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (77.0). Against the pass, Indianapolis is 16th (245.7). Indianapolis is 14th in the league in passing yards per game (256.3) and 18th in rushing (104.3). Tennessee’s defense has been most beatable on the ground, as the Titans are 29th in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (145.0). Against the pass, the Titans are 24th (270.7).Tennessee has found the end zone on an NFL-best 86% of red zone trips this season, making the most of the relatively few 2.3 trips a game (33rd). Indianapolis ranks as one of the least productive red zone offenses in the league, advancing inside the 20-yard-line only 3.3 times per game (29th) and scoring a touchdown on just 40% of those possessions (28th).

TOP PERFORMERS

Through three games, Tannehill has thrown for three touchdowns (3 INT) and 215.7 yards per game to lead Tennessee in passing. In one previous away game this season, he had zero TDs (2 INT) and 117 yards passing. Henry leads the team in rushing with an average of 64.0 yards a game over three games. He has two touchdowns on the ground. Woods is the Titans’ leading receiver with 45.7 yards a game.Ryan has three passing touchdowns (4 INT) with 256.3 yards per game through three games to lead Indianapolis. In one previous home game this season, he threw for two TDs and 222 yards. Taylor has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 95.3 yards a game through three games. He has one touchdown. Pittman Jr. has been the primary target in the Colts’ aerial attack. He has one touchdown and a 96.5 yard per game average through two appearances. Pittman Jr. is averaging 11.0 targets per game (8.5 receptions).