Free NFL Picks Today: Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs 9/25/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs 9/25/22
Sun 25th September 2022

The Indianapolis Colts (0-1-1, 0-0-0 Home) get their home schedule underway at Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday against the Kansas City Chiefs (2-0, 1-0 Away). The Chiefs are 5.5-point favorites, and the total is 50.5. Kansas City is coming off a narrow 27-24 win over the Los Angeles Chargers at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium last Thursday. Patrick Mahomes was 24 of 35 for 235 yards and two touchdowns. Clyde Edwards-Helaire ran eight times for 74 yards. He added four receptions for 44 yards. Travis Kelce caught five passes for 51 yards. Indianapolis lost 24-0 to the Jacksonville Jaguars at TIAA Bank Field last Sunday. Matt Ryan threw for 195 yards and three interceptions. Jonathan Taylor carried nine times for 54 yards. Ashton Dulin caught five receptions for 79 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since October 2019, a 19-13 win for the Colts.


The Chiefs are averaging 35.5 points per game so far this season, second in the NFL, and they are facing a Colts defense that has surrendered 22.0 PPG (17th). Meanwhile, Indianapolis has scored 10.0 points a game this season, worst in the league, and Kansas City is allowing 22.5 PPG (18th).The Chiefs rank sixth in the league in passing yards per game (297.5) and 16th in rushing (110.5), while the Colts are 15th in passing yards allowed per game (237.5) and 10th against the run (86.5).Indianapolis is ninth in the league in passing yards per game (273.5) and 12th in rushing (115.5), while the Chiefs are allowing 269.5 passing yards (23rd) and 89.0 rushing yards per game (11th). Indianapolis ranks as one of the weakest red zone threats in the NFL, advancing inside the 20-yard-line only 3.5 times per game (30th) and scoring a touchdown on just 29% of those possessions (28th).


Through two games, Mahomes has thrown for seven touchdowns and 297.5 yards per game to lead Kansas City in passing. In one previous away game this season, he had five TDs and 360 yards passing. Edwards-Helaire leads the team in rushing with an average of 58.0 yards a game over two games. He’s also contributed to the aerial attack with 38.0 receiving yards a game. Kelce is the Chiefs’ leading receiver with 86.0 yards a game and one TD. He is averaging 6.5 receptions on 8.0 targets per game.Ryan has one passing touchdown (4 INT) with 273.5 yards per game through two games to lead Indianapolis. Taylor has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 107.5 yards a game through two games. He has one touchdown. Dulin has been the primary target in the Colts’ aerial attack, averaging 62.5 yards per game through two appearances.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

KC Chiefs (-250)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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