Free NFL Picks Today: Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders 10/2/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders 10/2/22
Sun 2nd October 2022

The Washington Commanders (1-2, 0-1 Away) travel to take on the Dallas Cowboys (2-1, 1-1 Home) at AT&T Stadium on Sunday. The Cowboys are three-point favorites, and the total is 41.5. Washington is coming off a 24-8 loss against the Philadelphia Eagles at FedEx Field last Sunday. Carson Wentz threw for 211 yards. Antonio Gibson ran 12 times for 38 yards and a touchdown. Terry McLaurin was targeted nine times, catching six passes for 102 yards. Dallas beat the New York Giants 23-16 at MetLife Stadium on Monday. Cooper Rush was 21 of 31 for 215 yards and a touchdown. Tony Pollard carried 13 times for 105 yards. CeeDee Lamb scored once. He was targeted 12 times, hauling in eight receptions for 87 yards.


The Cowboys won both games between the teams last season, including a 56-14 win in their last meeting in December. Dak Prescott threw four touchdowns for Dallas, as Ezekiel Elliott added two TDs (1 rush, 1 rec).


The Commanders are averaging 21.0 points per game so far this season, 12th in the NFL, and they are facing a Cowboys defense that has surrendered 17.3 PPG (8th). Meanwhile, Dallas has scored 15.3 points a game this season, 30th in the league, and Washington is allowing 27.3 PPG (28th). The Commanders rank sixth in the league in passing yards per game (287.0) and 24th in rushing (86.7). They will be facing a tough test through the air, as the Cowboys are fifth in the league in passing yards allowed per game (202.3). Against the run, Dallas is 23rd (136.0). Dallas is 25th in the league in passing yards per game (216.0) and 11th in rushing (118.0). Washington’s defense has been most vulnerable through the air, as the Commanders are 30th in the league in passing yards allowed per game (290.3). Against the run, the Commanders are 21st (128.7). Washington has found the end zone on 75% of red zone trips this season, fifth most in the NFL, making the most of the relatively few 2.7 trips a game (32nd). Dallas ranks as the one of the lowest volume red zone offenses in the league, advancing inside the 20-yard-line only 2.0 times per game (33rd) and scoring a touchdown on 67% of those possessions (8th).


Through three games, Wentz has thrown for seven touchdowns (3 INT) and 287.0 yards per game to lead Washington in passing. In one prior away game this season, he had three TDs (1 INT) and 337 yards passing. Gibson leads the team in rushing with an average of 41.3 yards a game over three games. He has two touchdowns on the ground. McLaurin is the Commanders’ leading receiver with 78.3 yards a game and one TD. He is averaging 4.0 receptions on 7.0 targets per game. Rush has two passing touchdowns with 171.3 yards per game through three games to lead Dallas. In two home games this season, he has thrown for one TD and an average of 149.5 yards. Elliott has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 59.3 yards a game through three games. He has one touchdown. Noah Brown has been a key target in the Cowboys’ aerial attack. He has one touchdown and a 71.0 yard per game average through three appearances. Brown is averaging 7.0 targets per game (5.0 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Dallas Cowboys (-165)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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