Free NFL Picks Today: Las Vegas Raiders vs San Francisco 49ers 1/1/23

Free NFL Picks Today: Las Vegas Raiders vs San Francisco 49ers 1/1/23
Sun 1st January 2023

The Las Vegas Raiders (6-9, 4-2 Home) host the San Francisco 49ers (11-4, 4-3 Away), who will be out to build on their winning run, at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday. The 49ers are 9.5-point favorites, and the total is 42.

San Francisco is coming off a convincing 37-20 win over the Washington Commanders at Levi’s Stadium last Saturday, their eighth consecutive victory. Brock Purdy was 15 of 22 for 234 yards with two touchdowns and an interception.

Ray-Ray McCloud III ran one time for 71 yards and a touchdown. George Kittle was targeted eight times, catching six passes for 120 yards and two touchdowns.

Las Vegas lost 13-10 to the Pittsburgh Steelers at Acrisure Stadium last Saturday. Derek Carr threw for 174 yards, a touchdown, and three interceptions. Josh Jacobs carried 15 times for 44 yards. Darren Waller caught four receptions for 58 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since November 2018, a 34-3 win for the 49ers.


The 49ers are averaging 25.0 points per game for the season, eighth in the NFL, and they are facing a Raiders defense that has surrendered 23.3 PPG (23rd). Meanwhile, Las Vegas has scored 23.2 points a game this season, 12th in the league, and San Francisco is allowing 15.3 PPG (1st).

The 49ers rank 14th in the league in passing yards per game (239.1) and ninth in rushing (134.7), while the Raiders are 26th in passing yards allowed per game (255.7) and 15th against the run (116.6).

Las Vegas is 13th in the league in passing yards per game (239.9) and 15th in rushing (121.7). San Francisco’s defense has been strong on the ground, as the 49ers are No. 1 in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (75.0).

Against the pass, the 49ers are 18th (234.8).Las Vegas ranks as the one of the lowest volume red zone offenses in the NFL, moving inside the 20-yard-line just 2.7 times per game (31st) and scoring a touchdown on 50% of those possessions (26th).


Through 11 games, Jimmy Garoppolo has thrown for 16 touchdowns (4 INT) and 221.5 yards per game to lead San Francisco in passing. In five away games this season, he has 11 TDs (3 INT) and an average of 244.6 yards passing. Christian McCaffrey leads the team in rushing with an average of 64.9 yards a game over 15 games.

He’s also contributed to the passing game with 42.3 receiving yards a game. He has five touchdowns on the ground. Brandon Aiyuk is the 49ers’ leading receiver with 57.0 yards a game and seven TDs. Derek Carr has 24 passing touchdowns (14 INT) with 234.8 yards per game through 15 games to lead Las Vegas.

In six home games this season, he has thrown for 10 TDs (2 INT) and an average of 235.0 yards. Josh Jacobs has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 102.6 yards a game through 15 games.

He has 11 touchdowns. Davante Adams has been the primary target in the Raiders’ aerial attack. He has 12 touchdowns and an 86.0 yard per game average through 15 appearances. Davante Adams is averaging 10.7 targets per game (5.9 receptions).


San Francisco has won three straight on the road this season.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

San Francisco 49ers -9.5 (-110)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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