The Chicago Bears (3-6, 2-2 Home) and their great rushing offense host the Detroit Lions (2-6, 0-3 Away), one of the league’s weakest ground defenses, at Soldier Field on Sunday. The Bears are three-point favorites, and the total is 48.5.
Detroit is coming off a 15-9 win over the Green Bay Packers at Ford Field last Sunday. Jared Goff threw for 137 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. Jamaal Williams ran 24 times for 81 yards. Amon-Ra St. Brown was targeted nine times, catching four passes for 55 yards. Chicago lost 35-32 to the Miami Dolphins at Soldier Field last Sunday.
Justin Fields was 17 of 28 for 123 yards and three touchdowns. He added 178 yards and a touchdown on the ground. Darnell Mooney also scored once. He was targeted eight times, hauling in seven receptions for 43 yards.
The Bears won both games between the teams last season, including a 16-14 win in their last meeting in November. Andy Dalton threw one touchdown for Chicago. Jared Goff tossed two touchdowns for Detroit.
TALE OF THE TAPE
The Lions are averaging 23.5 points per game for the season, 12th in the NFL, and they are facing a Bears defense that has surrendered 24.0 PPG (21st). Meanwhile, Chicago has scored 20.8 points a game this season, 21st in the league, and Detroit is allowing 29.3 PPG (32nd).
The Lions rank 10th in the league in passing yards per game (255.9) and ninth in rushing (134.1). Look for them to take advantage on the ground, as the Bears are 30th in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (147.2).
Against the pass, Chicago is seventh (210.3).Chicago has been the league’s top rushing team, averaging 195.4 yards per game, while ranking 32nd in passing yards (147.4). Detroit’s defense has been vulnerable on the ground, as the Lions are 31st in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (148.8).
Against the pass, the Lions are 28th (278.5).Detroit has found the end zone on 71% of trips to the red zone this season, fourth most in the NFL, averaging 3.5 trips a game (17th). The Lions should match up well against one of the league’s weakest red zone defenses, as the Bears have allowed opponents to score on 68% of red zone trips (28th).
Through eight games, Jared Goff has thrown for 14 touchdowns (7 INT) and 255.1 yards per game to lead Detroit in passing. In three away games this season, he has one TD (4 INT) and an average of 244.7 yards passing. Jamaal Williams leads the team in rushing with an average of 68.1 yards a game over eight games. He has eight touchdowns on the ground.
Amon-Ra St. Brown is the Lions’ leading receiver with 57.0 yards a game and three TDs. He is averaging 5.6 receptions on 8.4 targets per game. Justin Fields has 10 passing touchdowns (6 INT) with 146.9 yards per game through nine games to lead Chicago. In four home games this season, he has thrown for six TDs (4 INT) and an average of 135.0 yards.
Justin Fields also leads the team in rushing with an average of 66.9 yards per game. He has four touchdowns on the ground. Darnell Mooney has been a key target in the Bears’ aerial attack. He has one touchdown and a 45.2 yard per game average through nine appearances.
HOME AND AWAY
Detroit has yet to win away from home this season in three games.
SportsTips’ NFL Pick:
Detroit Lions (+125)
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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.