Free NFL Picks Today: Dallas Cowboys vs Chicago Bears 10/30/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Dallas Cowboys vs Chicago Bears 10/30/22
Sun 30th October 2022

The Chicago Bears (3-4, 1-3 Away) head to face the Dallas Cowboys (5-2, 3-1 Home) at AT&T Stadium on Sunday. The Cowboys are 9.5-point favorites, and the total is 42.5. Chicago is coming off an impressive 33-14 win over the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium on Monday.

Justin Fields threw for 179 yards with a touchdown and an interception. He also ran 14 times for 82 yards and a touchdown. Darnell Mooney caught three passes for 53 yards. Dallas beat the Detroit Lions 24-6 at AT&T Stadium last Sunday. Dak Prescott was 19 of 25 for 207 yards and a touchdown. Tony Pollard carried 12 times for 83 yards. CeeDee Lamb caught four receptions for 70 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since December 2019, a 31-24 win for the Bears.


The Bears are averaging 18.0 points per game for the season, 24th in the NFL, and they are facing a Cowboys defense that has surrendered 14.9 PPG (2nd). Meanwhile, Dallas has scored 19.1 points a game this season, 22nd in the league, and Chicago is allowing 18.9 PPG (7th).

The Bears rank as the league’s top team in rushing yards per game (181.0, 1st), while they are 32nd in passing yards (149.7). The Cowboys are eighth in passing yards allowed per game (211.4) and 20th against the run (120.1).Dallas is 27th in the league in passing yards per game (194.4) and 14th in rushing (121.7).

Chicago’s defense has been strong through the air, as the Bears are 2nd in the league in passing yards allowed per game (191.6). Against the run, the Bears are 29th (149.7).Chicago is averaging 2.7 red zone trips a game this season, second lowest in the NFL, finding the end zone 47% of the time (27th).

The Bears may struggle to improve on those numbers against one of the league’s best red zone defenses, as the Cowboys have allowed opponents to score on only 43% of red zone trips (5th). Dallas ranks as the one of the lowest volume red zone offenses in the league, moving inside the 20-yard-line just 2.6 times per game (31st) and scoring a touchdown on 56% of those possessions (14th).


Through seven games, Justin Fields has thrown for five touchdowns (6 INT) and 149.7 yards per game to lead Chicago in passing. In four away games this season, he has two TDs (2 INT) and an average of 157.8 yards passing.

Khalil Herbert leads the team in rushing with an average of 66.3 yards a game over seven games. He has three touchdowns on the ground. Darnell Mooney is the Bears’ leading receiver with 42.0 yards a game. Cooper Rush has five passing touchdowns (3 INT) with 170.0 yards per game through six games to lead Dallas.

In three home games this season, he has thrown for three TDs and an average of 174.0 yards. Ezekiel Elliott has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 63.3 yards a game through seven games. He has four touchdowns. CeeDee Lamb has been a key target in the Cowboys’ aerial attack. He has two touchdowns and a 68.4 yard per game average through seven appearances. CeeDee Lamb is averaging 9.4 targets per game (5.3 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Dallas Cowboys (-450)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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