Free NFL Picks Today: Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills 10/2/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills 10/2/22
Sun 2nd October 2022

Two of the league’s top scoring offenses are set to face off at M&T Bank Stadium on Sunday, as the Buffalo Bills (2-1, 1-1 Away) travel to take on the Baltimore Ravens (2-1, 0-1 Home). The Bills are three-point favorites, and the total is 51. Buffalo is coming off a narrow 21-19 loss to the Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium last Sunday. Josh Allen was 42 of 63 for 400 yards and two touchdowns. He also ran eight times for 47 yards. Devin Singletary was targeted 11 times, catching nine passes for 78 yards and a touchdown. Baltimore beat the New England Patriots 37-26 at Gillette Stadium last Sunday. Lamar Jackson threw for 218 yards, four touchdowns, and an interception. He added 107 yards and a touchdown on the ground. Mark Andrews added two touchdowns of his own. He was targeted 13 times, hauling in eight receptions for 89 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since December 2019, a 24-17 win for the Ravens.


The Bills are averaging 30.3 points per game so far this season, third in the NFL, and they are facing a Ravens defense that has surrendered 25.7 PPG (24th). Meanwhile, Baltimore has scored 33.0 points a game this season, best in the league, and Buffalo is allowing 12.7 PPG (4th).The Bills rank as the league’s top team in passing yards per game (338.0, 1st), while they are 15th in rushing yards (112.3). They will look to take advantage through the air, as the Ravens are worst in the league in passing yards allowed per game (366.3). Against the run, Baltimore is 13th (104.7).Baltimore is 17th in the league in passing yards per game (249.7) and eighth in rushing (135.3). Buffalo’s defense is likely to present a challenge on both fronts, as the Bills are 2nd in the league in passing yards allowed per game (183.0) and 2nd against the run (57.7).Baltimore ranks as one of the biggest red zone threats in the NFL despite being one of the lowest volume red zone teams. The Ravens move inside the 20-yard-line only 3.3 times per game (29th), yet they score a touchdown on 80% of those possessions (3rd). Buffalo has had trouble defending their own red zone, allowing opponents to find the end zone 83% of the time (31st).


Through three games, Allen has thrown for nine touchdowns (2 INT) and 338.0 yards per game to lead Buffalo in passing. In two away games this season, he has five TDs (2 INT) and an average of 348.5 yards passing. Allen also leads the team in rushing with an average of 37.7 yards per game. He has one touchdown on the ground. Stefon Diggs is the Bills’ leading receiver with 114.7 yards a game and four TDs. He is averaging 9.0 receptions on 11.7 targets per game.Jackson has 10 passing touchdowns (2 INT) with 249.7 yards per game through three games to lead Baltimore. In one previous home game this season, he threw for three TDs and 318 yards. Jackson also leads the team in rushing with an average of 81.0 yards per game. He has two touchdowns on the ground. Andrews has been the primary target in the Ravens’ aerial attack. He has three touchdowns and an 81.7 yard per game average through three appearances. Andrews is averaging 10.3 targets per game (7.3 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Buffalo Bills (-160)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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