Free NFL Picks Today: Arizona Cardinals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers 12/25/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Arizona Cardinals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers 12/25/22
Sun 25th December 2022

The Arizona Cardinals (4-10, 1-7 Home) will be hoping to end their losing streak when they welcome the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-8, 2-4 Away) at State Farm Stadium on Sunday. The Buccaneers are 7.5-point favorites, and the total is 40.5.

Tampa Bay is coming off a 34-23 loss against the Cincinnati Bengals at Raymond James Stadium last Sunday. Tom Brady was 30 of 44 for 312 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions. Leonard Fournette ran 10 times for 44 yards. He added four receptions for 30 yards.

Chris Godwin caught all eight passes targeting him for 83 yards and a touchdown. Arizona dropped a fourth straight game last Sunday, falling 24-15 to the Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High.

Trace McSorley threw for 173 yards and two interceptions. James Conner carried 16 times for 63 yards and a touchdown. DeAndre Hopkins was targeted 11 times, hauling in seven receptions for 60 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since November 2019, a 30-27 win for the Buccaneers.


The Buccaneers are averaging 17.6 points per game for the season, 28th in the NFL, and they are facing a Cardinals defense that has surrendered 26.6 PPG (32nd). Meanwhile, Arizona has scored 20.9 points a game this season, 18th in the league, and Tampa Bay is allowing 20.6 PPG (10th).

The Buccaneers rank as the league’s worst team in rushing yards per game (74.3, 32nd), while they are 6th in passing yards (278.4). The Cardinals are 24th in passing yards allowed per game (253.8) and 13th against the run (114.3).

Arizona is 17th in the league in passing yards per game (236.7) and 20th in rushing (111.8), while the Buccaneers are allowing 214.7 passing yards (7th) and 120.2 rushing yards per game (17th).

Arizona ranks as the one of the lowest volume red zone offenses in the NFL, moving inside the 20-yard-line only 2.7 times per game (31st) and scoring a touchdown on 61% of those possessions (10th).


Through 14 games, Tom Brady has thrown for 20 touchdowns (7 INT) and 278.4 yards per game to lead Tampa Bay in passing. In six away games this season, he has six TDs (3 INT) and an average of 239.0 yards passing. Leonard Fournette leads the team in rushing with an average of 43.7 yards a game over 13 games.

He’s also contributed to the passing game with 31.5 receiving yards a game. He has three touchdowns on the ground. Mike Evans is the Buccaneers’ leading receiver with 68.3 yards a game and three TDs. He is averaging 4.9 receptions on 8.2 targets per game.

Kyler Murray has 14 passing touchdowns (7 INT) with 215.3 yards per game through 11 games to lead Arizona. In seven home games this season, he has thrown for eight TDs (2 INT) and an average of 190.9 yards.

James Conner has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 56.7 yards a game through 11 games. He has seven total touchdowns, six rushing and one receiving. DeAndre Hopkins has been a key target in the Cardinals’ passing game.

He has three touchdowns and an 89.1 yard per game average through eight appearances. DeAndre Hopkins is averaging 10.8 targets per game (7.9 receptions).


Tampa Bay is looking to snap a four-game losing run away from home this season. Arizona is looking to avoid a fifth consecutive home loss this season.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

TB Buccaneers -7.5 (-110)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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