Free NBA Picks Today: Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets 2/28/23

Free NBA Picks Today: Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets 2/28/23
Tue 28th February 2023

The Houston Rockets (13-47, 8-20 Home) will try to slow down the NBA’s top shooting team when they host the Denver Nuggets (43-19, 15-15 Away) on Tuesday.

Denver beat the Los Angeles Clippers 134-124 in overtime at Ball Arena on Sunday. Nikola Jokic led the way with a triple double, totaling 40 points, 17 rebounds, and 10 assists.

The Nuggets are the first seed in the Western Conference, five games ahead of the Memphis Grizzlies. Houston dropped their ninth in a row on Sunday at Moda Center at the Rose Quarter, falling to the Portland Trail Blazers 131-114.

Jae’Sean Tate and Alperen Sengun recorded 17 points each to lead the team in scoring in the loss. With 15 points and 10 rebounds, Tari Eason also had a strong game. The Rockets are 15th in the Western Conference.

This marks the final meeting of the season between the teams. Denver will be looking for a season sweep against Houston after taking both of their previous games, the most recent of which was a 120-100 victory at Ball Arena in November 2022, their ninth straight head-to-head victory. Jamal Murray led the Nuggets with 26 points. Kevin Porter Jr. had 23 points and six rebounds in the loss.

Jokic is averaging 24.8 points per game to lead the Nuggets in scoring this season. Jokic also is contributing 11.7 rebounds and 10.0 assists per game, placing him third and third in the NBA, respectively.

Jalen Green has been the primary provider of the Rockets’ offense, averaging 21.8 points per game. Sengun is averaging 8.8 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game.

The Nuggets rank as the NBA’s most accurate field goal shooting team at 50.9%.The Nuggets are only 2-8 in their last 10 trips to Toyota Center. Houston is looking to reverse a three-game losing streak at home this season.


Denver is 7-3 in the last 10 games with an average margin of +3.8 (116.8-113.0). Houston has a 1-9 record over the last 10, allowing 124.6 points per game on average while scoring only 110.2 (-14.4 margin). The Rockets are averaging 109.7 ppg for the full season while allowing 118.3.


(Last Five | Season Average | Differential)
Points + Rebounds + Assists:
Aaron Gordon: 18.0 | 26.8 | -8.8
Points per game:
Aaron Gordon: 6.0 | 17.1 | -11.1
Rebounds per game:
Thomas Bryant: 4.8 | 6.4 | -1.6
Assists per game:
Jamal Murray: 8.3 | 6.0 | +2.4


(Last Five | Season Average | Differential)
Points + Rebounds + Assists:
Daishen Nix: 13.3 | 8.3 | +5.0
Points per game:
Alperen Sengun: 10.8 | 15.0 | -4.2
Rebounds per game:
Jabari Smith Jr.: 9.2 | 7.1 | +2.1

SportsTips’ NBA Pick:

Denver Nuggets -10.5 (-115)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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